Premier League betting tips: Previews, Super 6 predictions & best bets for Saturday's 3pm kick-offs
After profiting in our last three Premier League tips packages, check out our best bets and Super 6 predictions for each of Saturday's 3pm kick-offs.
Recommended bets
1pt Everton to take more corners than Brighton on -1 handicap at 8/5
1pt Aleksandar Mitrovic to score anytime v Huddersfield at 17/10
1pt Half with the most goals in Leicester v Cardiff - second at 28/25
1pt Tottenham's Heung-min Son to outscore Wolves at 7/2
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
3pm fixtures
Brighton v Everton
Brighton held Arsenal to a draw at the Amex on Boxing Day and it does not get much easier for Chris Hughton's Seagulls.
Everton are the visitors and will be confident after netting five at Burnley - just days after conceding six against Spurs.
It is a difficult one to call in terms of the result. On paper you would expect the Toffees to claim all three points but Brighton can be confident of getting something here. They put in a good performance against Arsenal, where they could have snatched victory with some decent chances, and have had some credible results on the south coast.
Everton's form has taken a dip since the start of December, with the recent Turf Moor win their only one this month.
Backing Brighton in a draw no bet at 5/4 could be worth a small play, providing insurance should they share the points, but preference is to ultimately avoid the full-time result.
Brighton have scored more and conceded more in the first half than they have in the second, while Everton have scored in the first half in four of their last five. Both teams are not great defensively so you would expect goals and BTTS in the first half at 19/5 is a good way to go with attractive odds.
The preference though, is to go with a similar bet from Wednesday as the odds are so appealing. We backed Arsenal to take more corners than Brighton on a -1 handicap and backing Everton in the same market presents a best price of 8/5.
Brighton have the second-worst record in the Premier League for corners taken this season with just 75 and they took only four against the Gunners. Everton, meanwhile, took seven in the win at Burnley and sit third in the corners table with 113 this season, bettered only by Man City and Liverpool.
While the result could be a slight shock, it is expected that Everton have a heavy share of the chances and that should present them with a better set piece count.
Super 6 prediction: Brighton 2-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 11/1)
Best bet: Everton to take more corners than Brighton on -1 handicap at 8/5
Opta facts and statistics
- Brighton have won just one of their last 11 league matches against Everton (D4 L6), winning 3-1 in the top-flight in February 1982.
- Everton have lost just one of their five previous top-flight away games against Brighton (W2 D2).
- Everton are without a win in each of their last seven Premier League away games against south coast teams (D3 L4) since a 3-0 victory against Southampton in August 2015.
Fulham v Huddersfield
Fulham have a great chance to kick-start their survival bid as they host relegation rivals Huddersfield at Craven Cottage.
Claudio Ranieri's side spent Christmas on the bottom of the Premier League table, but their Boxing Day draw with Wolves saw them leapfrog Huddersfield and now they are four points from safety.
The Italian manager has plenty of positives to take after holding a good Wolves side to a point. In truth, the hosts probably had more chances to get a winner and they will want to continue on the front foot on Saturday.
The eye-catching statistic from that clash is the fact Serbian striker Aleksandar Mitrovic had eight shots without finding an opening. He got three on target, against a talented goalkeeper in Rui Patricio, in a dominant performance where he won 12 aerial battles and we know what a handful he can be. Backing him to score anytime at a best price of nearly 2/1 is a great option.
Given both sides' defensive record, you would expect a goal or two for the hosts and Mitrovic is going to be in the thick of it. You can back him in a score-and-win double at 9/4, but the preference is to stick with anytime so there is no reliance on Fulham winning.
We successfully backed Gylfi Sigurdsson, Heung-min Son and Paul Pogba to score on Boxing Day, and Mitrovic is the way to go here as he looks to add to his seven Premier League goals this term.
Super 6 prediction: Fulham 2-1 Huddersfield (Sky Bet odds: 17/2)
Best bet: Aleksandar Mitrovic to score anytime v Huddersfield at 17/10
Opta facts and statistics
- Fulham have yet to lose a top-flight home game against Huddersfield (W2 D1), although this is the first such meeting since April 1952.
- Huddersfield’s 1-0 win in the reverse fixture in November was their first victory in 12 league encounters with Fulham (D4 L7).
- Fulham have lost just one of their last 10 home league games against Huddersfield, winning five and drawing four.
Leicester City v Cardiff City
If you would have told Leicester fans that they would get six points from their games with Chelsea and Man City in the space of five days they would have laughed at you - or bitten your hand off.
Those wins came after a run of one win in their last eight in all competitions and a home clash with Cardiff gives them another chance to add to their upturn in form. It would, of course, be typical to slip up here after working so hard against top-six opposition, especially given the fact Cardiff are winless on the road this term.
It is difficult to see Neil Warnock's side claim all three points here, though. To say they were fortunate to get a point at Palace on Boxing Day is a probably an understatement - the Eagles had 31 attempts, dominated possession and corner stats but, ultimately, could not take their chances.
Warnock said after the game how survival would be the biggest achievement of his career and he knows a trip to the King Power is a difficult place to end their poor away run.
Marc Albrighton showed his importance to the Foxes with his energy and vibrancy driving them forward and creating chances. The former Villa man has scored in back-to-back home appearances and is 9/2 to get on the score sheet anytime here.
With preference to again avoid the result, a good option to look at is the half with the most goals. Leicester are fourth in the second-half table this season, scoring 15, while Cardiff, bottom of the first-half standings, tend to show improvement after the interval. Backing the second half to have more goals at just above evens is worth considering.
Super 6 prediction: Leicester 2-0 Cardiff (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)
Best bet: Half with the most goals - second at 28/25
Opta facts and statistics
- Leicester won the reverse fixture against Cardiff 1-0 this season – they last won consecutive games against the Bluebirds in all competitions in September 2010.
- Cardiff City haven’t scored more than twice in a game versus Leicester in all competitions in any of their last 12 clashes.
- Leicester City have won seven of their last 10 Premier League games against newly promoted teams (D2 L1).
Tottenham Hotspur v Wolves
Spurs have scored 11 goals in their last two games to go above Manchester City and assert themselves as serious Premier League title contenders.
Whether Mauricio Pochettino's Manchester United links boosted their performance remains to be seen, but Tottenham will want the rumours to persist if that is the case going on recent displays!
The free-scoring north Londoners thrashed Bournemouth 5-0 at Wembley on Boxing Day and they will hope to keep that momentum for the visit of Wolves, winless in their last two after their previous run of three successive wins.
Tottenham's goalscoring run is going to come to an end eventually, so it is preferred to avoid the overs market. That being said, backing them to win on a -1 handicap at 11/10 is a nice price and works with a 2-0 or 3-1 scoreline.
This Wolves side have held the likes of Man City and Man United this season, but a home defeat to Liverpool last week shows frailties and Spurs need to match their title rivals in these sort of games if they are to close the gap.
In the scoring markets, it is hard to look past Heung-min Son again. He has found the back of the net in four of his last two, assisting another, has had 14 shots in his last five appearances and is still a best price of 6/4 to score anytime on Saturday.
As good as those odds are, there is temptation to boost it up to 7/2 by backing the South Korean to outscore the opposition. With Harry Kane still the main man, Son can use the England forward as a distraction to again go under the radar and get in behind the Wolves defence. He will be a big miss when he goes to the Asian Games next month and they will look to make the most of his talent before he departs.
Super 6 prediction: Spurs 3-1 Wolves (Sky Bet odds: 10/1)
Best bet: Heung-min Son to outscore the opposition at 7/2
Opta facts and statistics
- This will be the 10th Premier League meeting between these two teams, with Spurs winning five of the nine previous games (D2 L2).
- Wolves are winless in five Premier League games against Spurs (D2 L3), since recording a 1-0 win at Molineux in February 2010.
- Tottenham have been defeated in just one of their last 12 home games against Wolves in all competitions (W7 D4) – losing 0-1 in December 2009.
- Spurs are unbeaten in their last 39 Premier League matches versus newly promoted teams (W36 D3), since losing 0-1 versus QPR in April 2012.
- Tottenham striker Harry Kane has been directly involved in 11 goals in his last 11 Premier League appearances agianst newly promoted teams (10 goals, 1 assist).
Watford v Newcastle United
A match between two sides beaten by top-six opposition on Wednesday - Watford at home to Chelsea and Newcastle at Liverpool.
This may be an outlandish prediction - hear us out first - but Newcastle can get something from this game and the odds available makes it even more tempting.
The Magpies are slipping back down the table after just one win in their last six, so Rafa Benitez's side are due a win and they are better away from St James' Park this season.
They are around mid-table in the away table, in the bottom three in the home standings, and have won two and drawn four on the road this term.
They did beat Watford on Tyneside in November, which will give them added confidence travelling to Hertfordshire, and the odds available on backing them draw no bet at a best price of 12/5 makes this worth a small play with added insurance should the points be shared.
Javi Gracia's Hornets are beatable at Vicarage Road and far too inconsistent this term since their storming start to 2018/19.
In the scoring markets, Salomon Rondon is good to back away from home, scoring with his only shot at Huddersfield earlier in December and before that, his 13 shots in his previous three games highlight a persistent threat from the Venezuelan. He is nearly 3/1 to score anytime in this one.
Super 6 prediction: Watford 0-1 Newcastle (Sky Bet odds:11/1)
Best bet: Newcastle in a draw no bet v Watford at 12/5
Opta facts and statistics
- Watford have won four of their last five Premier League meetings with Newcastle (L1), after failing to win any of their first four against the Magpies in the competition (D2 L2).
- Newcastle won the reverse fixture earlier this season courtesy of a goal from Ayoze Perez – they last won consecutive matches against Watford in February 2010 in the Championship.
- Newcastle have lost their last three away games against Watford in all competitions – their longest losing streak away to the Hornets.
- Watford’s Andre Gray found the back of the net in both fixtures against Newcastle last season. No Watford player has scored in three consecutive starts against a team in the Premier League.
Odds correct as of 1400 GMT on 27/12/18
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