Liverpool vs Brighton betting tips, BuildABet, best bets and preview
Football betting tips: Premier League
2pts Liverpool -1 handicap at 19/20 (General)
1pt Liverpool win to nil 19/10 (BetVictor)
1pt Mohamed Salah 1+ assist at 23/10 (Betway)
Kick-off time: 14:00 GMT, Sunday
TV channel: Sky Sports Premier League
Home 1/3 | Draw 9/2 | Away 13/2
Despite defeat at Manchester United in the FA Cup quarter-finals prior to the international break, Jurgen Klopp's farewell season continues to build to a fitting crescendo, with a raft of players returning from injury at the perfect time for Liverpool's pursuit of a second Premier League title in five seasons to gather further momentum.
Their home record throughout the Klopp era is much-publicised, and this season has been no different with the Reds collecting more points (34) scoring more goals (38) and conceding fewer times (12) than any other team in the division.
Home or away, they have lost only twice in the league all season.
While on the face of it this may seem like a potentially thrilling game between two high class, front-foot teams, in reality Brighton have struggled both away from home and against the division's top sides this term, and will likely do so again.
But no team will want to go to Anfield over the final two months of this campaign.
What are the best bets?
Since winning their opening two away games of the season, Albion have taken just nine points from 12 fixtures on the road, with their subsequent two victories coming at relegation-battling Nottingham Forest and relegation certainties Sheffield United.
Six times this season, Roberto De Zerbi's team have lost by at least two goals away from; four of those occasions have been by at least three.
LIVERPOOL's last six home wins have been by at least two goals, making the 19/20 about -1 HANDICAP worth taking.
Brighton's reputation for swashbuckling football under their charismatic Italian coach means our instinct is to avoid any selection opposing goals, but the 19/10 about LIVERPOOL WIN TO NIL provides serious appeal.
Albion have scored only once in five away games either side of a 5-0 win at Bramall Lane, and WIN TO NIL has landed in their last five matches.
Generous Salah
It feels highly likely MOHAMED SALAH will start at Anfield having been gradually re-introduced to the team in recent weeks.
Almost always odds-on to score, as he indeed is here, the Egyptian's evolving role over the past 18 months makes the 23/10 available for him TO PROVIDE AN ASSIST feel a touch overpriced.
Despite his limited action this season, Salah (9) is only one assist from being top of the Premier League charts, and his ratio of 0.45 assists per 90 is bettered by only Pedro Neto and Leon Bailey.
BuildABet @ 55/1
- Mohamed Salah to score anytime
- Salah 2+ shots on target
- Salah 1+ assists
- Liverpool (-2.0) handicap
- Both teams to score: No
- Jan Paul van Hecke to be shown a card
Brighton defender JAN PAUL VAN HECKE tends to struggle against top quality attacks, with Liverpool's front three and high energy midfield likely to give him little room to breathe, whether defending or on the ball. He'll do well to avoid a ninth yellow card of the season.
Team news
Liverpool may have players returning all the time, but they remain without several first-team players, the most notable being Trent Alexander-Arnold, Alisson, Diogo Jota and Joel Matip.
Darwin Nunez is expected to be fit to start.
Brighton remain without top scorer Joao Pedro while former Liverpool stalwart James Milner will also miss out through injury.
Key men Solly March and Kaoru Mitoma join them on the sidelines.
Predicted line-ups
Liverpool: Kelleher; Bradley, Van Dijk, Konate, Gomez; Szoboszlai, Mac Allister, Gravenberch; Salah, Nunez, Diaz.
Brighton: Verbruggen; Lamptey, Van Hecke, Dunk, Estupinan; Gilmour, Gross; Adingra, Ferguson, Enciso; Welbeck.
Match facts
- Having won each of their first six Premier League games against Brighton, Liverpool have now won just one of their last seven against them (D4 L2).
- Brighton are unbeaten in their last three away league games against Liverpool (W1 D2), having only avoided defeat in two of their previous 11 visits to Anfield (W1 D1 L9).
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 26 Premier League home games (W20 D6) since a 2-1 loss to Leeds in October 2022. The Reds have both scored and conceded in their last six at Anfield, last having a longer such run between August and December 2019 (8).
- Brighton beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 in their last Premier League game but haven’t managed to string together consecutive victories in the competition since a run of three in September.
- Since the start of last season, 11 of Brighton’s 12 Premier League away wins have been against sides in the bottom half of the table, with the exception being a 3-0 win at second placed Arsenal last May. Indeed, under Roberto De Zerbi they’ve taken just five points from 33 available away from home against sides in the top 10 (W1 D2 L8).
- 37% of the shots Liverpool have faced in the Premier League this season have been from outside the box (114/310), with only three clubs facing a higher share from distance this term. Despite this, the Reds have conceded fewer outside the box goals than any other side (1).
- 12 of Brighton’s Premier League goals this season have been scored by substitutes, more than any other side. Meanwhile, Liverpool’s 11 sub goals this term have been worth a league-high 10 points to the Reds.
- Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah is averaging a goal or assist every 76 minutes in the Premier League this season, the best rate of anyone to play at least 180 minutes in the competition this term. The Egyptian needs one more assist to become the first player in Premier League history to reach double figures for both goals and assists in three consecutive campaigns.
- Alexis Mac Allister – who played 112 times for Brighton between 2020 and 2023 – has scored in each of his last three appearances for Liverpool in all competitions (3 goals in total). He’d scored just twice in his first 31 appearances for the Reds this term.
- Coming into this round of games, no player has provided more assists in the Premier League this season than Brighton’s Pascal Groß (10). The German also ranks second for chances created (76), and is one of two players along with Andreas Pereira to create 30+ chances from both open play (46) and set plays (30) this term.
Odds correct at 1630 GMT (28/03/24)
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