Games kick off at 20:00 GMT on Thursday.
OLYMPIAKOS are very familiar with ARSENAL, having knocked them out of the Europa League last season. The Greeks were involved in a 5-4 aggregate win over PSV in the last round, but based on expected goals (xG), we should have seen closer to a combined 4 goals (4.15 xG), with unsustainably clinical finishing bumping up the goal tally.
Mikel Arteta’s side were also involved in a high-scoring two-legged contest, beating Benfica 4-3 on aggregate, but the chances over those matches also suggested fewer goals would be scored (4.46 xG). In last seasons meeting, both legs went UNDER 2.5 GOALS in 90 minutes, and another tight contest is expected between these two this time around.
ROMA made extremely light work of Braga in the last round, winning 5-1 on aggregate. While three of their four UEL home games have seen over 2.5 goals, SHAKHTAR DONETSK represent a step up in quality of opponent.
The Ukrainians were comfortable 3-0 aggregate winners over Maccabi Tel-Aviv in the last round, meaning their last four games in Europe have gone UNDER 2.5 GOALS, including against Real Madrid and Inter Milan. There will be needle in this clash, as Roma’s manager, Paulo Fonseca, was prized away from Shakhtar last year, but these are two high-quality teams that could cancel eachother out.
TOTTENHAM have re-found their attacking touch of late, and it all started with an away trip to Wolfsberger, where they won 4-1 and followed that up with a 4-0 second leg win. Spurs have scored 13 times in four home UEL games, and their eight matches in Europe have averaged 3.6 goals per game.
DINAMO ZAGREB won’t be pushovers though, coming into this tie unbeaten in the competition so far, though it is fair to say that the Croats are yet to face a top-tier opponent. Their away matches in Europe have averaged 2.5 goals and 2.81 xG per game, so chances are created in their matches, and given Spurs’ attacking displays at home, OVER 2.5 GOALS looks likely.
Odds correct at 1400 GMT (10/03/21)
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