20:10 Bath

Wednesday 3 July 2019

All18:1018:4019:1019:4020:1020:4021:10

Value Rater Racing Club Handicap

Off time: 20:14 | Winning time: 2m 29.27s

(12)

Dimmesdale⁴¹

Age: 4| Weight: 9-10| J: Liam Jones| T: J G M O'Shea| OR: 54

14/1

Failed to improve for the move to handicaps with both his starts in this sphere being poor (one over C&D). Does now drop in grade but can start slowly and faces some better handicapped rivals in this; others more persuasive.

Form: 56758

(10)

Cape Agulhas^p1,t⁶¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-7| J: Dylan Hogan⁽⁵⁾| T: W J Martin| OR: 51

16/1

Best run so far came in an AW claimer at Dundalk (1m2f) on his last run for Tony Mullins where forcing tactics appeared to suit him. Two runs for this stable have resulted in a brace of below-par efforts; now tried in cheekpieces first-time.

Form: 56-6200

(3)

Sigrid Nansen^p⁸^{(ex 5)}

Age: 4| Weight: 9-6| J: Cieren Fallon⁽⁷⁾| T: Alexandra Dunn| OR: 45| D

7/2

After a series of creditable efforts in this grade she finally came good in an amateur riders event last time (travelled well in a weak race) at Brighton over 1m4f. Faces quicker conditions here under a 5lb penalty but should go well enough.

Form: 332541

(1)

Filament Of Gold^b⁴⁹

Age: 8| Weight: 9-5| J: J F Egan| T: R Brotherton| OR: 49| CD

8/1

Tends to go well around here (821313) with one of those wins coming over C&D; returned to form here last time over a 2f longer trip. Did well to take third in that contest (came from well off the pace); slipped 1lb below his last winning mark.

Form: 833-403

(2)

Confils⁷^{(ex 6)}

Age: 3| Weight: 9-5| J: P Cosgrave| T: George Baker| OR: 55| C

11/8

The drop into 0-55 company allowed her to deliver on the promise of her previous two starts, 1m2f on a decent surface here suiting her well. Saw the race out well with this extra distance/penalty unlikely to bother her; less exposed than many here.

Form: 07-6051

(8)

Sellingallthetime^v¹⁸

Age: 8| Weight: 9-4| J: Ellie Mackenzie⁽⁷⁾| T: M D I Usher| OR: 48| D

9/1

Has run respectably of late but it's hard not to think that he's just going through the motions with the losing run now standing at 37 starts. Fourth over C&D last time he didn't really shape as though that losing run would be ending soon.

Form: 590574

(9)

Just Right⁷

Age: 4| Weight: 9-3| J: William Cox⁽³⁾| T: J L Flint| OR: 47

16/1

Most of her form is very modest; remains a maiden after 12 starts with her latest two outings being well below the low bar that she has set. Well behind Confils in her last run (ran in snatches); hard to build a cogent case to reverse the form.

Form: 037-666

(4)

Kay Sera⁵¹

Age: 11| Weight: 9-2| J: E J Walsh| T: A G Newcombe| OR: 46| D

66/1

Lightly raced sort in recent years who was well held on her only start this year on the AW after six months away from the track. Slipped back below her last winning mark but this trip looks on the short side; first turf run for over two years.

Form: 75176-0

(6)

Eben Dubai^p²⁷⁵

Age: 7| Weight: 9-1| J: Rossa Ryan| T: J L Flint| OR: 45

33/1

Well below any sort of form over 1m here last time having fared no better on her previous outing (also around here) over 1m2f. Those runs were at the backend of last year though and he's likely to need this outing; others much preferred.

Form: 336/080-

(11)

Mamnoon^b⁴¹

Age: 6| Weight: 9-1| J: K T O'Neill| T: R Brotherton| OR: 45| C

40/1

Only win in 21 Flat runs came here over 1m2f off an 8lb higher mark although on recent evidence it's doubtful if he could run anywhere near that level now. Offered little on his seasonal return at Chepstow (went with little fluency); easy to oppose.

Form: 34870-0

(5)

Innstigator⁴¹

Age: 5| Weight: 9-1| J: Callum Shepherd| T: Mrs S Gardner| OR: 45

25/1

Relatively rare Flat runner from a predominantly jumps yard who looks to have a touch more temperament than ability. Still a maiden (0-13) he's not sure to appreciate this quick ground having folded up tamely at Chepstow last time.

Form: 9/5360-0

(7)

Phobos³⁴

Age: 4| Weight: 9-1| J: Hayley Turner| T: M Blanshard| OR: 45

50/1

Upped in trip/first-time hood and a drop in grade didn't appear to make any difference to her already modest form figures last time at Lingfield. Ran no sort of race at all (50-1), always behind; very hard to see any positives for her here.

Form: 46-0079

(13)

Celtic Classic^p1¹⁸⁸

Age: 3| Weight: 8-6| J: Charlie Bennett| T: P & O Cole| OR: 48

14/1

One of two three-year-olds in the field he does at least have the positive of being unexposed making his handicap debut. On his form so far which poor he faces a tough task, handicaps/first-time cheekpieces and being gelded may improve him.

Form: 700-

Forecasts

Confils (11/8), Sigrid Nansen (7/2), Filament Of Gold (8/1), Sellingallthetime (9/1), Dimmesdale (14/1), Celtic Classic (14/1), Just Right (16/1), Cape Agulhas (16/1), Innstigator (25/1), Eben Dubai (33/1), Mamnoon (40/1), Phobos (50/1), Kay Sera (66/1)

Not an awful lot of strength in depth here and the three-year-old CONFILS having landed a comfortable victory here over 1m2f last time ought to be able to defy a 6lb penalty given that this looks a weaker heat and she is relatively unexposed. It’s taken a while for Sigrid Nansen to strike but she goes on the ground and a 5lb penalty for a 6L win doesn’t look to onerous. Filament Of Gold must come into the equation on his course form especially as he’s slipped below his last winning mark and will enjoy this quick ground. The “dark horses” in the race are the Irish raider Cape Agulhas with first-time headgear and handicap newcomer Celtic Classic who may now show his true worth in this sphere.