This weekend's Championship slate concludes in South Wales where Swansea welcome Rotherham. James Cantrill previews the game picking out his best bets.
Football betting tips: Championship
2pts Rotherham double chance at 7/5 (General)
0.5pts Rotherham win, Viktor Johansson card at 41/1 (bet365)
The visitors, ante-post favourites for the drop, secured what felt like a monumental three points last Tuesday, beating Sunderland 2-1 at the New York Stadium.
This hoisted the Millers five points clear of the drop, though it is fair to say that Matt Taylor’s men have not travelled well this campaign.
In South Yorkshire, Rotherham have averaged 1.44 points per game in the second tier this season. On their travels, that average drops to 0.76 and this goes a little way to explaining their price of 11/2.
Kick-off time: 20:00 GMT, Monday
TV channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Swansea 11/20 | Draw 3/1 | Rotherham 5/1
Swansea are only six points above Rotherham in the Championship standings and have only won two of their last 19 games.
They have taken 15 points, the 20th worst haul over that period making them one of the worst teams in the division. I just cannot be having them at odds-on.
As previously alluded to, away from home, the Millers are one of the worst sides in the Championship, their tally of 13 points from 17 games speaking for itself. However, they are built to play against sides that like to dominate possession.
Rotherham have taken points against Watford, Stoke, Sheffield United, Middlesbrough and QPR this campaign, all of which have averaged more than 50% possession.
Taylor’s side were also leading at Turf Moor until injury time against a Burnley side that averaged the second most possession in the league (62.5%).
At the juicy odds available, backing ROTHERHAM WIN DOUBLE CHANCE is worth a tout here.
Sticking along similar lines, it is also worth combining a ROTHERHAM WIN with a VIKTOR JOHANSSON card via bet365’s bet builder.
The thinking being, if the Millers do get their noses in front their keeper will be doing everything he can to run down the clock.
The Swedish shot stopper has accumulated three cards this campaign, each of them for time wasting.
Swansea v Rotherham best bets and score prediction
- 2pts Rotherham win/ double chance at 7/5 (General)
- 0.5pts Rotherham win, Viktor Johansson card at 41/1 (bet365)
Score prediction: Swansea 0-1 Rotherham (Sky Bet odds: 12/1)
Odds correct 1530 GMT (24/02/23)
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