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Tottenham v Southampton: Our prediction
Nick Hext writes... I’ve backed Everton and Millwall to keep things close in Tottenham’s last two home games but the sensational form from Mauricio Pochettino’s men at White Hart Lane hasn’t slowed down.
Spurs have won 12 matches in a row at their own stadium and that run has taken them to second in the Premier League and the semi-finals of the FA Cup.
The difference for Sunday’s match at home to Southampton is the loss of star striker Harry Kane to injury.
Kane is set to be ruled out by ankle ligament damage for four to six weeks and that leaves Pochettino with a problem as Spurs bid to remain clear in the top four.
Son Heung-min looks the most likely player to benefit from Kane’s absence. The forward scored a hat-trick in last weekend’s 6-0 win over Millwall in the FA Cup and he’s got a decent tally of 14 goals to his name this season.
Vincent Janssen also netted against the Lions but the Dutchman has found the going tough in the Premier League and it’s hard to see Pochettino immediately picking him to replace Kane.
Son is an interesting contender at 17/10 in the anytime scorer odds but Spurs’ goals are shared out.
Tottenham’s last 12 goals have been netted by six different players, including four from the ruled-out Kane, so Southampton also have the likes of Christian Eriksen, Dele Alli and Harry Winks to keep them busy.
Saints bounced back from losing 3-2 to Manchester United in the EFL Cup final with a 4-3 win at Watford last time out.
Manolo Gabbiadini netted in that victory and the Italian forward has now scored for seven matches in a row, including goals in his final three appearances for former club Napoli.
Gabbiadini is 13/5 in 32Red’s anytime scorer prices and that’s just about where I’d expect him to be given that Tottenham have only conceded in four of those 12 victories in a row at White Hart Lane.
Tottenham deserve to be trusted for another three-point haul at home but Kane’s absence is enough to keep a watching brief.
Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 3-2 Southampton
Tottenham v Southampton: Team news
Mauricio Pochettino could be without five players for Tottenham's game at home to Southampton on Sunday.
Pochettino will make late decisions on Kyle Walker and Victor Wanyama after defender Walker hurt his ankle at home on Monday while midfielder Wanyama sustained a knock against Millwall last weekend.
Harry Kane (ankle), Danny Rose (knee) and Erik Lamela (hip) are all out but Mousa Dembele is available again after recovering from an ankle problem.
Southampton boss Claude Puel will choose from an unchanged squad.
Striker Charlie Austin is close to resuming training after a shoulder injury and defender Jeremy Pied is also making good progress after a knee operation and could train next week.
Goalkeeper Alex McCarthy, full-back Matt Targett and centre-half Virgil Van Dijk are still out injured.
Teams
Tottenham (from): Lloris, Vorm, Lopez, Davies, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Dier, Carter-Vickers, Wimmer, Walker, Trippier, Wanyama, Winks, Dembele, Eriksen, Alli, Sissoko, Onomah, Son, Janssen.
Southampton (from): Forster, Taylor, Bertrand, Yoshida, Caceres, Gardos, Cedric, Hesketh, Romeu, Clasie, Ward-Prowse, Isgrove, Tadic, Redmond, Boufal, Lewis, Stephens, Hojbjerg, McQueen, Sims, Rodriguez, Gabbiadini, Long.
Tottenham v Southampton: Manager quotes
Mauricio Pochettino (Tottenham)
On Harry Kane: "He is very positive, joking about (coming back) after the international break, three to four weeks.
"It's good but we need to be careful with the injury. We trust completely our doctor and physios and that department who look after them in the best way."
On Kane's prediction, Pochettino added: "We don't know. I express the feeling and the way we are doing on the training ground.
"He is very positive but don't take it like properly my words because if not four, it's five to six weeks. But the good thing he is very positive.
"If you are positive in your mind you can affect your injury positively."
On changes to his side because of Kane's injury: "We hope things will be different this time but it was a different period, the team is different now. We are finding our best. The team is more solid.
"Today is a great chance for people like Son and Janssen to play more regularly in the starting XI. It's a great chance for them."
Claude Puel (Southampton)
On James Ward-Prowse and Nathan Redmond being part of the England squad: "I told them I had a problem with their attitude in the training session, and to ask their opinion.
"Then after I told them the news I said I couldn't understand why.
"But of course it's fantastic for them and for the club. It's a good thing for them and congratulations to them and to the club.
"All the staff who train them have been important for their progress and it's a good reward for all.
"The policy in this club for a lot of seasons has been to work with quality, for the promotion and evolution of young players, and it's important we continue," added Puel.
"You can see with James, I looked at the interview when he was young, it was the same spirit - I think James is the ideal son-in-law!
"He's an intelligent player, he wants to make progress. It's easy to train James.
"For Nathan, he's also a talented player, but sometimes he didn't listen enough. But he has made progress since the beginning of the season.
"It's important he understands he has all the quality to become a very good striker with his feet and his quality. He can score all the goals and give good assists.
"It's a good reward for them and their work."
Tottenham v Southampton: Sky Bet odds
Tottenham are Sky Bet’s 7/10 favourites for the victory with Southampton given a 19/5 chance, while a draw is priced at 11/4. Spurs were just 8/15 to win the match before Harry Kane’s injury, which also prompted their Premier League outright odds to drift from 14/1 to 20/1. Heung-Min Son heads the first goalscorer betting in Kane’s absence and is 20/1 for another hat-trick, while Manolo Gabbiadini is rated the visitors’ main threat at 13/2 to net first.
Click for Sky Bet's Tottenham v Southampton odds!
Tottenham v Southampton: Opta facts
Mauricio Pochettino has lost just one of his five Premier League games against his former team Southampton (W3 D1 L1), although it came in the last meeting at White Hart Lane in May 2016.
Southampton have kept only one clean sheet in their last 25 away league games against Spurs (0-0, Jan 2001), with Paul Jones in goal for Saints that day.
Dele Alli has scored three and assisted one more in two Premier League apps versus Southampton.
Christian Eriksen has netted three goals in three Premier League games against Southampton at White Hart Lane.
Manolo Gabbiadini has found the back of the net in each of his last seven competitive appearances, including all four games for Southampton and in the three prior to his move for Italian side Napoli (nine goals in total).
Gabbiadini could become the third player in Premier League history to score in each of his first four appearances in the competition alongside Mick Quinn and Diego Costa.
Southampton have won their last two Premier League games, netting four goals in each clash. They’ve not won three in a row since a four-game streak in May 2016, with a victory over Spurs the third win in this run.
Saints last scored four goals in three consecutive league games back in December 1980; a run that also included a 4-4 draw against Spurs at White Hart Lane.
Spurs are unbeaten in their first 14 home top-flight league games of a season for the first time since 1964/65.
Spurs midfielder Christian Eriksen has created the most goalscoring chances this season (78), with 10 of these assisting goals for the north London club.
Spurs have played 12 games this season in all competitions without Harry Kane – nine of which have come against top-flight opposition. In those nine games, they have managed to score just eight goals and have won just three (W3 D4 L2).
