Mark your card for Saturday's Premier League games with George Pitts providing a best bet and score prediction for each clash.
For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record
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Burnley v Manchester United
- 1945 kick-off on BT Sport
There were a lot of positives to take from Manchester United's Boxing Day win over Newcastle.
They came from behind, scored four goals, Anthony Martial, Marcus Rashford and Mason Greenwood all scored and the Red Devils looked to have regained their swagger.
The main negative was a potential knee ligament injury to Scott McTominay, but that paves the way for Paul Pogba to return to the side so Burnley will not be getting over excited.
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side have struggled for consistency away from home this term, failing to win seven of nine and considering how Burnley play at Turf Moor, it will be no easy ride here.
After losing at Watford on Sunday and then hitting four past Newcastle and seeing out a comfortable victory in the end, we have seen contrasting Man United performances in the space of just a few days.
With just a 48-hour turnaround, it would be a surprise to see United play so well again and, after narrowly losing at Everton, it would be no surprise to see the Clarets dig in and take at least a point from Man United here.
Burnley/draw in the double chance is tempting at around evens, odds against in places, but cannot be said with real confidence as it would be typical of Solskajer's men to finish strongly after a disappointing calendar year.
Best bet: Burnley/draw double chance at 51/50
- None of Burnley’s last 16 Premier League home games have finished level, with the Clarets winning eight and losing eight at Turf Moor. No other side is a longer run without a draw at home in the competition
- Manchester United have won just two of their last 13 Premier League away games (D4 L7). They’ve failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 14 on the road, while failing to score in four of their last seven away from Old Trafford in the top-flight.
- Burnley have mustered just one shot on target over their last two Premier League games, Jay Rodriguez’s goal against Bournemouth. The Clarets have failed to have a single attempt on target in two different Premier League games this season – only Newcastle (3) have done so in more.
- No side has kept fewer clean sheets in the Premier League this season than Manchester United (2). The Red Devils have conceded at least once in each of their last 14 games, the longest current run in the top-flight.
- Among teenagers in the top five European leagues, only Jadon Sancho (12) has scored more goals in all competitions this season than Manchester United’s Mason Greenwood (8).
- Marcus Rashford is enjoying his best ever goalscoring season in the Premier League for Manchester United, with 11 from his 19 appearances. Meanwhile, only Mohamed Salah has scored more winning goals in the Premier League this term than Rashford (4).
Brighton and Hove Albion v AFC Bournemouth
- 1230 GMT kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League
Not the most inspiring of fixtures to kick off the day's top-flight action, but Brighton have a great opportunity to bounce back after failing to hold a lead at Tottenham on Boxing Day.
Bournemouth, meanwhile, did manage to hold another north London side in Arsenal, but both sides are in pretty poor form at the minute - another reason this fixture fails to excite.
Both have won just one of their last eight and, as Dale Tempest wrote in his recent column about backing draws, you could quite easily see the points being shared here. Sides towards the bottom half are a lot more reluctant to leave themselves open at the back and few risks could be taken, making for quite a scrappy clash.
But, even with a low-scoring draw, a nice anytime goalscorer price lies on the home side's midfielder, Pascal Gross.
The German had three shots in the defeat at Spurs and has shown over the course of the season to regularly try his luck, with more than two shots in a game on six different occasions. He should really have more than just one strike to his name.
Considering his eye for goal, ability from set pieces and supporting role behind Neal Maupay, the 4/1 price on him to find the back of the net is the eye-catching price for this one.
Prediction: Brighton 1-1 Bournemouth (Sky Bet odds: 11/2)
Best bet: Pascal Gross to score anytime at 4/1
- Brighton are winless in their four Premier League matches with Bournemouth (D1 L3), losing this exact fixture 0-5 last season.
- Bournemouth won their last Premier League away game, 1-0 against Chelsea. They last won back-to-back league games on the road in October 2018. The Cherries are also unbeaten in their last three Premier League away games against fellow south coast sides, netting 11 goals in that run (W2 D1).
- Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson has scored in all three of his league games at the Amex Stadium (1 in Championship, 2 in Premier League), also providing two assists in the Cherries 5-0 win at the ground last season.
- Five of Brighton’s last nine Premier League goals have been scored by defenders (Adam Webster x2, Lewis Dunk x2 and Shane Duffy). These five strikes have also all come from set-piece situations.
- Bournemouth’s Dan Gosling has scored two goals in six Premier League appearances this season, as many as he netted in 25 games in the competition last term.
Newcastle United v Everton
- 1500 GMT kick-off
Newcastle are impressive at home and hard to beat - only Arsenal have won at St James' Park this season - while Everton started under Carlo Ancelotti in winning ways and you could really see them putting a run together now with the new manager bounce.
The Magpies led at Man United but the game was over early in the second half and Steve Bruce's side were well rotated, which could have been with this fixture in mind.
With Jonjo Shelvey, Andy Carroll and DeAndre Yedlin among those likely to return, the hosts can at least get on the score sheet and BTTS at a fraction under evens could be worth adding to your goals acca.
It is very rare to back goals in a Newcastle game but this is the more appealing one in a game that is quite difficult to call.
Best bet: BTTS at 4/5
- Everton have won four of their last six Premier League away games against Newcastle (L2), having won just three of their first 18 visits to St James’ Park in the competition (D4 L11).
- Newcastle are unbeaten in their last eight home Premier League games (W4 D4), last enjoying a longer run at St James’ Park in the competition between January-April 2012 (9 games).
- Everton have won just one of their last 12 Premier League away games (D4 L7), beating Southampton 2-1 in November. The Toffees are without a clean sheet on the road in eight league games, having kept a shutout in five of their previous nine away from home.
- Following their 1-4 defeat at Man Utd last time out, Newcastle are looking to avoid losing back-to-back Premier League games for the first time since their opening two games of the season.
- Everton’s Dominic Calvert-Lewin has scored six goals in his 17 Premier League games this season, equalling his best goalscoring return in a single top-flight campaign (six in 35 appearances in 2018-19).
- Carlo Ancelotti won his first Premier League match in charge of Everton – only Joe Royle in 1994 and David Moyes in 2002 have won their first two in charge of the Toffees in the competition.
Southampton v Crystal Palace
- 1500 GMT kick-off
A fairly simple one but the price on Palace to get a win here is too good to turn down.
Granted, Southampton got a great result at Chelsea and you wonder whether Ralph Hasenhuttl's side might turn a corner but 48 hours after such a hard-working performance at Stamford Bridge it is a difficult ask for them to do it here, even if Danny Ings was rested.
The Saints have the worst home record in the league, with just two win from nine, conceding 24 (nine of them in one game, remember) and Palace have a reasonable record on the road with 11 points from 27 (10th in the away table).
Roy Hodgson's side sealed a late win through a wonderful solo effort from Jordan Ayew - watch it below - and, even though they also played at 3pm on Boxing Day, they have the overall quality to get the better of a leggy Southampton.
At over 3/1, they are well worth considering and if that does not appeal, surely the 2/1 in draw no bet does.
Best bet: Crystal Palace to win at 16/5
- Southampton haven’t won their last league game in a calendar year since 2010 (4-1 vs Huddersfield in League One), drawing three and losing five since. Their last such victory as a Premier League side was back in 2002 (2-1 vs Sunderland).
- Crystal Palace have won nine away league games in 2019 – only in five calendar years have they reached double figures for away league victories (12 in 1960, 11 in 1961 and 2015, and 10 in 1996 and 1997).
- Just 33% of Southampton’s Premier League points have been won in home games this season (7/21), the lowest ratio in the division. Indeed, in a league table based purely on home games, Saints would be bottom with seven points and a goal difference of -15.
- Danny Ings has scored four goals in his last six Premier League home games for Southampton, as many as he had in his first 16 for Saints at St Mary’s Stadium.
- Jordan Ayew’s five Premier League goals this season have been worth nine points to Crystal Palace; only two players have ever had more valuable goals in a single Premier League campaign for the Eagles (Andrew Johnson 15 in 2004-05 and Christian Benteke 12 in 2016-17)
Watford v Aston Villa
- 1500 GMT kick-off
Aston Villa may have won on Boxing Day, but it was only narrowly against Norwich and, considering their poor record on the road, Watford have a great opportunity to extend their unbeaten run to three games.
Nigel Pearson's side, after beating Man United at Vicarage Road, battled to a 1-1 draw at Sheffield United - no mean feat - and, providing they are not too leggy, they are fancied to edge Dean Smith's men.
There was a temptation to for a low-scoring home victory, but the price on the hosts to be ahead on 75 minutes is the preference at 11/10. If Nigel Pearson's side go in front, the Hornets should then be able to see out the victory.
With Troy Deeney key, Gerard Deulofeu's confidence up after scoring at Bramall Lane and Abdoulaye Doucoure back from suspension, they should just about do the job.
- Watford’s victory against Man Utd in their last home league game ended a run of 12 without a win at Vicarage Road (D5 L7). It was also the first time this season the Hornets had taken the lead in a Premier League home match.
- Aston Villa have only won one of their last 27 Premier League away games (D4 L22), winning 5-1 at Norwich in October. The Villans have won fewer points on the road than any other side in the Premier League this season (4).
- Watford have won four points in their last two Premier League games, as many as they had from the previous 21 available in the competition (W1 D1 L5).
- Watford have conceded more goals from penalties than any other Premier League side this season (5). Meanwhile, Aston Villa are one of just four clubs yet to score from the spot this season.
Norwich City v Tottenham Hotspur
- 1730 GMT kick-off on Sky Sports Premier League
Norwich lost to an out-of-form Aston Villa side on Boxing Day and they dropped to the bottom of the table. The look destined for the drop in May.
It was, though, the first time in seven games that they have failed to score and if, as expected, Tottenham come out on top then the Canaries can at least get on the score sheet.
Daniel Farke's side have gone close against Wolves, Sheff United and Arsenal in recent home games and Spurs cannot travel to Norfolk thinking the job is already done.
Jose Mourinho should not let them get like that though and a couple of enforced changes in midfield should add fresher legs, with Harry Winks and Moussa Sissoko joining Heung-min Son on the suspension list.
The only worry is that Harry Kane and Dele Alli looked shattered in the latter stages of the Boxing Day victory over Brighton, so Mourinho will be hoping they can recover here.
Spurs have conceded 15 goals in nine games under Mourinho (all competitions), keeping just one clean sheet, so backing an away victory with both sides scoring is a good priced option.
Best bet: Tottenham to win and BTTS at 21/10
- After a run of 12 Premier League away games without a win, Tottenham have won two of their last three on the road (L1). The Lilywhites are without a clean sheet in 16 Premier League away games, their longest run without one in the top-flight since a run of 20 between April 1976-April 1977.
- Norwich are winless in their last six Premier League home games (D1 L5), and are without a clean sheet in their last 13 at Carrow Road in the competition. Indeed, the Canaries have conceded at least twice in their last eight Premier League home games, the second longest such run in the competition’s history (Wolves, 11 in April 2012).
- Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored four goals in his two Premier League appearances against Norwich. Indeed, in all competitions since the start of 2014-15, Kane has scored 17 goals in 15 games against sides he’s previously played for (13 in 12 vs Leicester, 4 in 2 vs Norwich, 0 in 1 vs Millwall).
- Tottenham’s Dele Alli has been involved in more goals in all competitions for the club under José Mourinho than any other player (8 – 5 goals, 3 assists).
- Tottenham striker Harry Kane has scored 135 goals in 199 Premier League appearances. The only players with more in their first 200 matches in the competition are Alan Shearer (145) and Sergio Agüero (138).
West Ham v Leicester City
- 1730 GMT kick-off
Leicester have been impressive this season, answering most questions put to them, and now they have another test as they bid to bounce back from consecutive defeats.
Granted, it was against the league's best two teams in Liverpool and Man City but Brendan Rodgers' side need to show character and resilience to continue their good work.
It was disappointing to see the Foxes play more conservative against the top teams (like in the reverse at Liverpool and away at Man United earlier in the season) and you would hope they can return to what they do best now.
As important as he is, 32-year-old Jamie Vardy played 90 minutes against Jurgen Klopp's side and it will be interesting to see if he starts and if so how impactful he can be.
Ayoze Perez could return to the side as part of Rodgers' rotation in the festive period and the 11/4 price on him to score does appeal.
The Spaniard, who has four Premier League goals to his name this season, has had 15 shots in his last eight appearances. Rodgers has used him in more of a wide role in this Leicester side and his energy could be vital if Vardy is on the bench.
Best bet: Ayoze Perez to score anytime at 11/4
- West Ham have won just one of their last nine Premier League meetings with Leicester (D4 L4), with their 2-0 victory in May 2018 also their only clean sheet against the Foxes in this run.
- West Ham have lost their last three Premier League home games, conceding three goals in each defeat. Only three teams in Premier League history have conceded 3+ goals in four consecutive home games – Crystal Palace in April 1998, Bradford in February 2001 and Fulham in March 2014. Of those sides, only Crystal Palace and Fulham lost all four games.
- West Ham have dropped a league-high 15 points from winning positions in the Premier League this season, more than they had in the entire season in both 2018-19 (12) and 2017-18 (14).
- Leicester’s Jamie Vardy is the highest Premier League goalscorer in 2019 with 29 goals, and could become just the seventh different player to score as many as 30 in a single calendar year in the competition.
Odds correct as of 1300 GMT on 27/12/19
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