Sporting Life continues a new series of weekend tipping articles exclusively for our members with Jake Pearson's best football bet of the weekend.
Jake, whose profitable Beat the Market column is showing a return on investment of 19% so far this season, provides an exclusive selection as part of our Members Extra package.
His latest tip is for Villarreal v Mallorca which you can find below.
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1pt Over 2.5 Goals in Villarreal v Mallorca at 5/6
Villarreal were emerging as a real force to be reckoned with in La Liga prior to the winter break, netting ten goals in the three matches leading up to the festive pause, and it looked as though they had picked up where they left off in their first game of this calendar year, scoring five goals for the second consecutive match to beat Levante 5-0.
The Yellow Submarine’s run of four consecutive victories came to an end against Atletico Madrid though, Diego Simeone’s men snatching a point despite Villarreal creating by far and away the better opportunities.
Though a draw against last season’s champions is no cause for concern, a 1-0 defeat to struggling Elche was disappointing to say the least, though again Villarreal created enough opportunities to feel aggrieved with the result.
In fact, carving out opportunities has certainly not been an area of weakness for Unai Emery’s men this season, creating the second-most chances in the division according to expected goals (xG), while only Real Madrid, Real Betis and Atletico Madrid have actually netted more times than Villarreal this term.
At home, as well, Emery’s side have particularly excelled, scoring more goals than any other side on home soil, whilst boasting the best attacking process as per xG.
All this points towards a tough game for Mallorca then, who arrive into this match having lost their last three La Liga matches.
With just four wins all season, Mallorca sit just three points clear of the relegation zone, and given only Levante have conceded more away goals this season, it is difficult to see this vibrant Villarreal attack not breaching the away side’s backline at least once.
There is hope for Mallorca though, as while Villarreal have been prolific scorers at the Estadio de la Cerámica, they have also been leaky at the back, conceding the sixth most home goals.
In fact, Villarreal home matches have seen more goals than any other side this season, averaging 3.55 per game.
64% of those have gone OVER 2.5 GOALS, and another goal-filled home fixture for the Yellow Submarine is highly expected.
Posted at 1700 GMT on 21/01/22
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