La Liga: Weekend best bets and previews

La Liga tips, best bets, predictions and previews: Matchday 19 picks


Liam Kelly searches for more value in the next round of La Liga fixtures, looking to continue a profitable spell.

Follow @LiamKellyTTA on Twitter


Football betting tips: La Liga

1pt Half-time correct score 0-0 in Real Madrid v Real Sociedad at 2/1 (Sky Bet, bet365, BetVictor)

1pt Almería to score first v Espanyol at evens (Sky Bet, Coral)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

Latest Sky Bet offer

Real Madrid v Real Sociedad

With little time to recover from an intense midweek Madrid derby in the Copa del Rey, there’s a chance Real Madrid may not be sharp from the off against Real Sociedad on Sunday night.

As a consequence, I’m willing to take a chance on the HALF-TIME CORRECT SCORE being 0-0 at a tempting price of 2/1 considering Real Madrid’s opponents.

Real Sociedad are really starting to hit the kind of form that has seen them succeed in recent seasons under Imanol Alguacil, demonstrating a familiar defensive strength that was missing in the early parts of their league campaign.

Despite holding a relatively early lead in each of their four consecutive La Liga wins after the pause in play, Real Sociedad have allowed an average of just 0.55 expected goals against (xGA) per game – conceding only once.

Holding Carlo Ancelotti’s side at bay will undoubtedly be tough, but Real's packed schedule might at least slow them down. Hopefully until half-time for the sake of the selection.

Score prediction: Real Madrid 1-1 Real Sociedad (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)

Odds correct 1500 GMT (27/01/23)

Almería v Espanyol

Notorious slow starters Espanyol may well have won their last two games as the first scorers but it's worth backing them to slip back into old habits in this one.

Indeed, ALMERÍA TO SCORE FIRST looks value at an even-money price.

Espanyol conceded first in 13 of their opening 16 La Liga matches this season, often making slow starts. In Almería, they face a team that have outperformed expectations and who usually pick up points at home.

Friday's hosts have won five of the nine games played in Almería, gaining 16 of their 19 points at home.

Although Almería are winless in the past four league fixtures, an easing of the schedule should be beneficial to a team that have continued to create chances throughout that run — averaging 1.41 expected goals for (xGF) per game.

Score prediction: Almería 2-1 Espanyol (Sky Bet odds: 8/1)

Odds correct 1800 GMT (26/01/23)

Our football team enjoyed a winning 2022

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