Chelsea's Mason Mount takes a corner
Sporting Life's preview of Chelsea v Malmo, including best bet and score prediction

Chelsea v Malmo tips: Champions League preview and best bets


Malmo face the unenviable task of travelling to Stamford Bridge to take on reigning European champions Chelsea in the Champions League group stage. Jake Pearson provides a match preview and best bet.


Football betting tips: Champions League

2pts 10+ match corners at 10/11 (Sky Bet)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

"I think this is a really bad game for Man Utd" | Champions League Best Bets: Matchday 3

Thomas Tuchel’s Chelsea would have been very happy when the group stage draw was made, but it has been far from plain sailing for the defending European champions so far.

Zenit came into their fixture against Chelsea having not won a Champions League match since they beat Lyon in November 2017, but they ran the Blues close at Stamford Bridge, losing 1-0 but creating more chances than the hosts (0.78 – 0.90).

Chelsea’s following European fixture ended in an even worse result, losing 1-0 to Juventus, who were at that moment in time bang out of form. Chelsea created chances against the Old Lady but lacked a clinical edge, and with the Italians digging deep to defend their goal, Tuchel’s men were unable to find that Midas touch.

Chelsea currently lead the way in the Premier League, but in truth, it has been a similar story, winning six of their eight league matches but ranking as just the eighth best team according to Infogol’s Expected Points table.


Kick-off time: 20:00 BST, Wednesday

TV channel: BT Sport 3

Chelsea 1/16 | Draw 10/1 | Malmo 33/1

CLICK HERE to download the Sporting Life app


The reason this is relevant is it demonstrates how Chelsea have dropped off this season, and in particular in the last few weeks, their forward players not firing on all cylinders and often being bailed out by exceptional individual defensive performances.

After a desperately tough fixture against Brentford at the weekend, a game Chelsea won 1-0 but were subject to a severe hammering in the second half, the Bees creating chances equating to 2.16 xG overall, Tuchel will be happy that their Champions League fixture is a home one, and is against the group’s weakest team.

Malmo are yet to pick up a point in this season’s Champions League, losing 3-0 to Juventus and 4-0 to Zenit.

That does not bode well for the Swedish side then, with Chelsea looking to regain the ruthless thread, and with the Blues an incredibly short 1/16 for victory, it is difficult to see Malmo coming away with anything other than a hiding here.

WHAT IS EXPECTED GOALS? USE xG TO INCREASE PROFITS IN FOOTBALL BETTING

In fact, though they lead the way in the Swedish Allsvenskan, Malmo are far from the best defensive outfit, their defensive record just the sixth-best in the division, averaging more than a goal a game against.

Expect a thoroughly dominant Chelsea win then, but there are little betting opportunities in either the 1X2 or the goals markets.

The corner markets offer plenty of encouragement from a punting perspective however, and backing 10+ MATCH CORNERS at a price of 10/11 looks a very shrewd selection.

Chelsea rank fifth in the Premier League for amount of corners won, averaging 5.88 per game, but interestingly, they have also conceded the second most flag-kicks in the division, averaging a whopping 7.38 corners against per match, with no team in the English top flight seeing a higher average match corner count – Chelsea games averaging 13.25 corners.

Join the Sporting Life football facebook page for more videos, analysis and stats

Against Juventus Chelsea racked up eight corners, but more importantly, as it is the game that more closely resembles this one, against Zenit they won seven and conceded four corners.

Game state is important when betting on corners, and the longer this game goes on without a Chelsea goal, the higher the corner count is likely to be.

Given Chelsea have only scored once in the Champions League this season, as well as their recent woes in front of goal in the Premier League, there is a definite possibility that the breakthrough doesn’t come straight away.

Desperation could creep in, which could lead to speculative efforts, which should lead to corners.

That this bet is also heavily odds-on elsewhere gives extra confidence and a price of 10/11 should not be passed up.


Chelsea v Malmo best bets and score prediction

  • 2pts 10+ match corners at 10/11 (Sky Bet)

Score prediction: Chelsea 4-0 Malmo (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)

Odds correct at 1630 BST (18/10/21)

Liverpool are tipped to beat Manchester United in this week's Beat The Market
ALOS READ: Liverpool are tipped to beat Manchester United in this week's Beat The Market

More from Sporting Life


Safer gambling

We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.

Further support and information can be found at begambleaware.org and gamblingtherapy.org.

Like what you've read?

MOST READ FOOTBALL

Sporting Life
Join for free!
Access to exclusive features all for FREE - No monthly subscription fee
Race Replays
My stable horse tracker
giftOffers and prize draws
newsExclusive content

FOOTBALL TIPS