The Super 8s returns after a weekend off for the Challenge Cup final. Tom Carnduff thinks last week's winners will struggle here.
The Super 8s return following a break for the Challenge Cup final, where Catalans Dragons upset the odds as they defeated Warrington Wolves.
Despite Cup success, there is real value in backing a defeat for the Dragons when they travel to take on Castleford.
The game at Wembley was Catalans' only realistic trophy to win at this point in the season, with the top-four out of reach where they battle to make the Grand Final at Old Trafford.
They'll be little motivation for victory after the cup win, and given the fact that the Tigers are battling Warrington and Wigan for that second spot in the standings, they'll be eager to wrap up a convincing win.
That's why backing a heavy Castleford victory provides value, in particular -34 at a best-price at 11/4.
Questions surround the Super 8s structure after Warrington embarrassed Hull FC with an 80-10 win on Thursday night, and those arguments will only get louder by full-time on Saturday.
The Tigers also beat them 41-0 earlier in the season, so they can put points past this Dragons defence that were outstanding in London last time out.
With a heavy scoring evening expected, there is also value in backing individual scorers. The best value seems to come with Paul McShane also available at a price of 11/4.
The hooker returns to the squad for this one and can capitalise on the opportunities that they will find themselves with. The 28-year-old has eight to his tally already this season, the joint-third highest in the Castleford team.
He is someone who is crafty, a creative playmaker and can exploit gaps that appear in opposition defences. For that reason, the best price of 11/4 looks incredibly generous.
Preview posted and odds correct at 1545 BST on 31/08/18
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