15:50 Ffos Las

Monday 17 December 2018

All12:4013:1013:4514:1514:5015:2015:50

MansionBet 'Newcomers' Standard Open NH Flat Race

  • 3YO to 5YO  |   Class 5  |   1m 7f 182y  |   Heavy  |   6 Runners  |   Turf  |   Weighed In
  • Off time: 15:52  |   Winning time: 4m 17.4s
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The word Betfair in black.
The words Paddy Power in green.
Cloth number
Odds
Horse A-Z
1
Horse silk
6/1
Yard know the family well (dam half-sister to both their Rainbow Haze and Driftwood Haze, both stay well) but are 0-10 in bumpers last five years and on that, others have stronger claims.
2
Horse silk
3/1
Pedigree has some speed in it, and she might appreciate this test more than a few. Yard 0-9 in bumpers but have had a couple placed at big prices, and Richard Johnson an eyecatching booking, so worth a glance in the market.
3
Horse silk
11/4
First foal, dam an unraced half-sister to smart hurdle and chase winner Lord Henry. Yard have an 18% strike rate in bumpers but that has fallen right off in more recent times. Has chances in what looks a winnable event all the same.
€32,000 purchase back in 2016, dam a winner in Germany and there's some Flat speed in his pedigree. Yard just 2-33 in bumpers last 12 months though, which tempers enthusiasm a little, and unless strong in the market, others make more appeal.
Has a good looking pedigree, dam a half-sister to smart winners Made In Taipan and Made In Time. Will no doubt do well over fences in time but yard know what it takes to win these events and he looks one of the more likely ones.
Only 3yo in the field, is a half-sister to the useful chaser Thomas Crapper, which shows where her future may lie. Yard 0-19 in these events last five seasons though, so it may pay to look elsewhere for the winner today.

Forecasts

Stick With Bill (5/2), Little Red Lion (11/4), Gallic Geordie (3/1), Moonlight Camp (11/2), Beau Haze (6/1), Youvebrokenmydream (12/1)

Verdict

As ever in these events, the market will prove most informative but as it stands, STICK WITH BILL makes most appeal, coming from a yard that do well in bumpers and he's bred to be decent. Gallic Geordie makes some appeal on the jockey booking alone, and comes from an up-and-coming yard, so is worth a second look. Little Red Lion may be best of the rest.
  1. Stick With Bill
  2. Gallic Geordie
  3. Little Red Lion

Previous Winners

2017
Echo Watt
Weight: 10-8  |Age: 3
16/1

Prize Money

1st: £2,599.002nd: £763.003rd: £382.004th: £191.00

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