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Free betting tips: Sky Bet Championship - West Brom v Leeds United

Our best bets for West Brom v Leeds
Our best bets for West Brom v Leeds

The late kick-off on Sky Sports comes from the Hawthorns as West Brom welcome Leeds. Tom Carnduff has best bets at 9/1 and 10/1.


Recommended bets

1pt Adam Forshaw to score anytime at 10/1

1pt Jay Rodriguez to be shown a card at 9/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record


West Brom v Leeds (The Hawthorns, 1730 BST, Sky Sports Main Event)

Shock horror, Leeds United are on TV once again.

This weekend sees them travel to the West Midlands to take on a West Brom side who have hit a rough patch following a promising start.

Darren Moore's men have failed to win in their last four outings with three of those ending in defeat. That has seen them drop down to seventh in the table.

Leeds still boast the best away record in the division and wrapped up all three points in a 2-1 victory over Wigan last weekend. Despite going behind, Leeds looked comfortable when they regained the lead and did not look like a side who were set to throw it away.

The Baggies had been flying at home, but a huge 4-1 hammering at the hands of Derby left them shell-shocked, following it up with a 1-1 draw against Blackburn.

What we have seen from this West Brom side is that they are comfortable winning a game when they dominate the ball. The 4-1 victory over Reading and the 2-0 scoreline against Millwall saw them have over 60% possession.

Matt Phillips celebrates after scoring against Birmingham
Matt Phillips celebrates after scoring against Birmingham

However, the Blackburn and Derby games saw that drop to a 51/49 split in their favour, allowing the opposition more time on the ball has led to them failing to secure maximum points in recent weeks.

There have been games where they have had more of the ball and not won. It's probably a good time to mention that West Brom sit in the top eight when it comes to unsuccessful touches of the ball, wasting opportunities that are being presented to them.

For Leeds, they will be full of confidence having returned to the top of the table and Adam Forshaw has been introduced to the side following Samuel Saiz's poor form.

He is a player who has adjusted to the more attacking role in midfield, posting shots on goal in the games against Forest and Wigan. You would expect him to start again here, with Saiz providing the impact from the bench if required.

Given his more advanced position, there is every chance he could get amongst the scoring as someone who has demonstrated that they aren't afraid to try their luck when the opportunity presents itself.

The 10/1 price available on him netting anytime looks too high, but the value is still there even if it does drop down to around the 6/1 mark.

Pablo Hernandez celebrates after scoring for Leeds against Wigan
Pablo Hernandez celebrates after scoring for Leeds against Wigan

Premier League official Lee Mason is the man tasked with refereeing this one. The Baggies sit in the top half for cards shown at home this season, and there should be more here with Leeds one of the division's most-fouled teams.

My eye was caught by the huge 9/1 on offer for Jay Rodriguez to be shown a card. The forward has two cards to his name already and has committed the most fouls in this West Brom squad.

United's high-pressing style of play often leads to turnovers and fouls. Rodriguez will be under pressure every time he is on the ball and that could lead to those late challenges that catch the referee's attention.

The 29-year-old committed two fouls in last week's loss at Hull, with three on his tally in the draw with Blackburn before that (over 37% of the fouls committed by Baggies' players in that game were from Rodriguez).

It is worth backing, even if that price does drop a bit. The sheer number of fouls committed are bound to grab the referee's attention, it is then up to Mason if he feels it warrants a booking.

Score prediction: West Brom 1-2 Leeds (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)

Best bets:

Kemar Roofe scores Leeds' second against Wigan
Kemar Roofe scores Leeds' second against Wigan

Opta facts

  • This is the first meeting between West Brom and Leeds since January 2007 – the Baggies won 3-2 at Elland Road in a Championship match.
  • Leeds have lost four of their last five matches against West Brom at the Hawthorns, winning the other in the Premier League in August 2002.
  • Leeds have kept one clean sheet in their last 24 away league matches at West Brom – a 1-0 win in April 1972.
  • After a seven game unbeaten run that saw them scored 18 goals (2.6 per game), West Brom are winless in their last four (D1 L3), scoring just twice in that run (0.5 per game).
  • Leeds are the only team yet to lose a single point from a winning position in the Championship this season.
  • Leeds’ Kemar Roofe has scored in each of his last three league games – he’s never previously scored in four consecutive league appearances.

Odds correct at 1640 GMT (08/11/18)

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Most Read Football

Get all the football gossip from the National Papers1

Paper Talk: Madrid want Rashford

All the day’s main back page football news, including Spanish giants chasing Marcus Rashford

We look ahead to the latest round of matches in the Nations League2

Nations League tips: Go for goals

George Pitts looks ahead to tonight's UEFA Nations League action, with three selections from some important matches.

Christian Pulisic3

In focus: January transfer targets

We take a look at five likely movers in the January transfer window including Borussia Dortmund's young American star Christian Pulisic.

Jesse Lingard celebrates scoring for England against Croatia at Wembley4

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England’s comeback victory over Croatia has seen them installed as the 9/4 favourites to win the inaugural UEFA Nations League next summer.

Jasper Cillessen celebrates5

Nations League review: Dutch delight

Holland scored twice in the last five minutes to snatch a dramatic 2-2 draw in Germany and qualify for next year's Nations League Finals at the expense of world champions France.

Football Tips

We look ahead to the latest round of matches in the Nations League

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Royal Line (right) pulls clear to win the November Handicap

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