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Mick McCarthy
Mick McCarthy

Our Nick Hext is backing Ipswich to enjoy derby success at home to Norwich in Sunday's Sky Bet Championship game.

Sunday's TV game

Ipswich to beat Norwich, Sky Bet Championship (Sunday, 1200 BST, Sky Sports Football)

The East Anglian derby takes centre stage on Sunday as Ipswich host Norwich at Portman Road. I'm keen on the Tractor Boys as 5/2 outsiders for the victory as they look to make the most of home advantage at Portman Road. Ipswich have been hit-and-miss in recent weeks after their five-match winning streak to start the season came to an end. I still see much to like about Mick McCarthy's side and they are a big price to beat their mid-table rivals. Norwich are in decent shape to push for the play-offs but they just don't make appeal at the odds available in this derby encounter.

Saturday's TV game

First goal in Millwall v Birmingham to be scored between 71 and 80 minutes & first goal to be scored between 81 minutes and full time, Sky Bet Championship (Saturday, 1730 BST, Sky Sports Football)

I'm not expecting a classic between Millwall and Birmingham in Saturday's evening live Sky Bet Championship offering for Sky Sports viewers. Steve Cotterill heads to The Den for his first away game as Blues boss and he's boosted by a 1-0 win at home to high-flying Cardiff last time out. I reckon this game will be low on goals and I'm prepared to take a chance on waiting for the opener. There's 20/1 available for the first goal to be scored between 71 and 80 minutes plus the same price for between 81 minutes and full-time. I'll dutch my stake over those two 10-minute periods for a bet that won in Birmingham's 1-0 victory over Sheffield Wednesday at the end of September and two of Millwall's last five outings.

League One selection

Bury to beat Southend, Sky Bet League One (Saturday, 1500 BST)

Bury are improving after a slow start to the season. The Shakers have only lost a couple of their last six games heading into Saturday's trip to Southend and I think they make appeal as big outsiders at Roots Hall. Having Chris Maguire and Jermaine Beckford in their starting XI means that Bury pose a threat to any team they face and that is showing with a climb up the standings. Southend have lost by three goals in two of their previous three outings and I just can't trust them as such big favourites to get the three points in this contest.

League Two selection

Chesterfield to beat Cambridge, Sky Bet League Two (Saturday, 1500 BST)

I'm going to take a chance on Sky Bet League Two's bottom side Chesterfield at just shy of 4/1 to win on the road at Cambridge on Saturday afternoon. The Spireites lost seven games on the spin before the 2-0 victory at Crawley on Tuesday night and that showed the improvement that has been made at the start of new boss Jack Lester's reign. Lester has the backing of the Chesterfield fans after his impressive spell with the club during his playing career and some much-needed positivity can only help the Spireites. Cambridge have only won one of their previous five outings and I see the U's as opposable as heavy favourites.

Recommended bets

1pt first goal in Millwall v Birmingham to be scored between 71 and 80 minutes at 20/1

1pt first goal in Millwall v Birmingham to be scored between 81 minutes and full-time 20/1

1pt Chesterfield to beat Cambridge at 15/4

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Posted at 0705 BST on 20/10/17.

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