The late kick-off on Super Sunday comes at Old Trafford. Tom Carnduff is looking for value in the stats betting markets.
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Manchester United v Everton (Old Trafford, 1600 BST, Sky Sports Main Event)
Manchester United could find themselves in the bottom half of the Premier League standings by the time this game comes around, and they face a tricky task against an in-form Everton side.
The Toffees have won their last three Premier League games, although their victory over Leicester was their first away win of the season.
Old Trafford has lost its fear factor in recent seasons and that is evident by the fact that United have only won two of their four Premier League games in front of their own supporters in 2018/19.
Jose Mourinho's men found themselves 2-0 down against Newcastle (before a dramatic second-half comeback) and were also ran close by Leicester on opening day, so it is fair to say that Everton will have opportunities to find the net here.
Despite the individual talent they possess, the hosts have been conceding plenty of shots in the games they are playing.
The last three games in all competitions has seen a total of 48 shots for the opposition, with 19 of those on target.
Given Everton's quality in attack, and the support behind in attacking midfield, stats betting is an avenue worth exploring giving the good odds you can get on the away side.
Score prediction: Manchester United 1-1 Everton (Sky Bet odds: 6/1)
Manchester United's woes are evident given their current position in the Premier League standings. Everton are in decent form themselves and can be confident of picking up a point as they look to continue their push up the table.
I have already outlined the fact that Manchester United tend to concede plenty of shots against them and have been outshot by opponents in recent weeks. Sigurdsson has had the most shots on goal by a considerable distance over his Everton teammates. His 23 is seven clear of Cenk Tosun and Richarlison and his involvement in the attack makes him great value to have another attempt here.
Pogba, in similar fashion to Sigurdsson, leads the way for shots on goal for Manchester United by a big distance. His 27 is eight clear of Romelu Lukaku and he'll fancy his chances of adding to that tally against an Everton side who have conceded 12 goals in their nine games so far this season.
Goalscorer: Gylfi Sigurdsson anytime at 4/1
I've already discussed his impact in front of goal and there is real value in backing Everton's current top scorer to strike here at odds of 4/1. The Icelandic international has five goals on his tally already alongside an assist. The hosts have kept just one clean sheet in their seven games at Old Trafford this season and Everton are a side capable of continuing that run.
Manchester United v Everton Opta facts
- Manchester United have won 19 home Premier League games against Everton – only against Spurs have they won more (21).
- Everton are winless in seven matches against Manchester United in all competitions (W0 D2 L5) since a 3-0 home win in the Premier League in April 2015.
- Manchester United have scored more goals (98) and won more games (35) against Everton in the Premier League than against any other opponent.
- Five of Manchester United’s last seven Premier League goals against Everton have been scored in the last 10 minutes of matches.
- Manchester United currently have a goal difference of -1 in the Premier League this season; the first time that they have had a negative goal difference after nine games of a league campaign since 1990-91.
- Only in 2014-15 under Louis van Gaal (13 points) have Manchester United won fewer points from their opening nine games in a Premier League season than in 2018-19 (14). In fact, this is the second time Jose Mourinho has won just 14 points from a possible 27 in his opening nine matches of a season as Man Utd boss (also did so in 2016-17).
- David de Gea has conceded 16 goals in nine Premier League matches for Manchester United this season – in 2017-18, he conceded the same tally of goals in his first 24 matches and didn’t concede his 17th goal until January 31st.
- Everton forward Richarlison has made 13 Premier League appearances against ‘big six’ teams but hasn’t scored a single goal and made just one assist (1063 mins played).
- Manchester United striker Romelu Lukaku; who is Everton’s all-time leading goalscorer in the Premier League with 68 goals, scored one goal and assisted another in his only previous match against the Toffees in a Man Utd shirt (September 2017).
- Everton boss Marco Silva has only won one of his six competitive managerial meetings with Portuguese compatriot Jose Mourinho in all competitions (W1 D1 L4); this coming in a League Cup tie with Hull City at home in January 2017 (2-1).
Odds correct as of 1540 BST on 27/10/18