Sporting Life's preview of Huddersfield v Coventry
Huddersfield visit Luton in the first leg of the Sky Bet Championship play-off semi-finals.

Luton v Huddersfield tips: Championship play-off semi-final best bets and preview


Luton host Huddersfield in what, at the start of the season, would have seemed an unlikely Sky Bet Championship play-off semi-final. Michael Beardmore has the preview and best bets.


Football betting tips: Championship play-offs

1pt Huddersfield to win at 9/4 (VBet)

1pt Harry Cornick to score anytime at 27/10 (Sporting Index)

0.5pt Harry Toffolo to score anytime at 14/1 (Paddy Power/Betfair)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

Betfair new customer offer > http://ads.betfair.com/redirect.aspx?pid=3887764&bid=11068

It’s fair to say that had you suggested back at the start of the season that Huddersfield would face Luton in one of the Sky Bet Championship play-off semi-finals, you’d have gotten a few odd looks.

But both have beaten heavy odds to make the top six, even if Infogol’s Expected Goals table suggests each team, particularly third-placed Huddersfield, strange as it sounds, have been a tad fortunate to do so.

The Terriers were actually in contention for automatic promotion for a lengthy period, only for a 3-0 home defeat by Bournemouth in mid-March to ultimately propel the Cherries up.

Huddersfield have not lost since, winning six and drawing one of their final seven regular-season games to finish with a flourish, while injury-hit Luton have been a bit more up and down.


Kick-off time: 19:45 BST, Friday

TV channel: Sky Sports Main Event

Luton 29/20 | Draw 11/5 | Huddersfield 2/1

WHAT IS EXPECTED GOALS? USE xG TO INCREASE PROFITS IN FOOTBALL BETTING

When you factor in the Terriers’ superlative away record in recent months – winning nine of 14 on the road since mid-December, losing just twice – I think Huddersfield are too large at 9/4 to edge this first leg.

That run has featured victories away to top teams Fulham, Middlesbrough, Nottingham Forest, Coventry and, in the FA Cup, Premier League side Burnley – the Terriers are a force to be respected on their travels.

It was less than a month ago that Huddersfield beat Luton 2-0 at the John Smith’s Stadium and that could be an important psychological consideration here too.

The Hatters have been very good at home in 2022, winning eight, drawing three and losing just once in 12 matches.

Download the Sporting Life app

However, their record in games against fellow top-six sides this term is P10 W2 D4 L4 F6 A16. Now, admittedly, the goal difference is skewed by a 7-0 defeat at Fulham but those figures are a concern.

The Terriers, meanwhile, have won away at three of the top six – Fulham, the Blades and Luton – and lost just once. It all points to HUDDERSFIELD TO WIN being the value bet.

Elsewhere, the unders/overs markets are risky – neither side score for fun but are middling when it comes to average goals. It could be tight but an early goal could really open things up.

Hence, I’ve picked out two anytime goalscorers to keep an interest throughout at two very appealing prices.

"Competing in the Premier League with Third Division money." | Racing Education | Buying The Dream

Luton have been very reliant on their two forwards all season and with Elijah Adebayo touch and go after missing the Hatters’ past two games, they will be looking to Harry Cornick to come up with the goods.

He scored the winner in their top-six clinching 1-0 victory over Reading and has 12 for the season – if 16-goal Adebayo is again absent the 27/10 on CORNICK TO SCORE ANYTIME could have real value.

I also can’t ignore the 14/1 on Huddersfield’s HARRY TOFFOLO TO SCORE ANYTIME with Paddy Power and Betfair.

The full-back is in frankly ridiculous form, scoring five goals in his past seven games and while that sort of run is impossible to keep going over the long haul, it’s definitely worth a flutter given he’s clearly in the mood.

Since the preview has been published, Sky Bet have boosted Harry Toffolo to score anytime out to 20/1. Click the above link to get that price.


Luton v Huddersfield score prediction and best bets

  • Huddersfield to win at 9/4 (VBet)
  • Harry Cornick to score anytime at 27/10 (Sporting Index)
  • Harry Toffolo to score anytime at 14/1 (Paddy Power/Betfair)

Score prediction: Luton 1-2 Huddersfield (Sky Bet odds: 9/1)

Odds correct 1730 BST (10/05/22)

Sporting Life's League Two play-off preview featuring Port Vale, Mansfield, Swindon and Northampton.
ALSO READ: Sporting Life's League Two play-off preview featuring Port Vale, Mansfield, Swindon and Northampton.

More from Sporting Life


Safer gambling

We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.

If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.

Further support and information can be found at begambleaware.org and gamblingtherapy.org.

Like what you've read?

MOST READ FOOTBALL

Sporting Life
Join for free!
Access to exclusive features all for FREE - No monthly subscription fee
Race Replays
My stable horse tracker
giftOffers and prize draws
newsExclusive content

FOOTBALL TIPS