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Free betting tips: Sky Bet Championship - Leeds United v Nottingham Forest

Our best bets for Leeds v Nottingham Forest
Our best bets for Leeds v Nottingham Forest

With a 22/5 winning tip in Leeds' live game last week, our EFL expert Tom Carnduff has four best bets for their televised clash with Forest.


Recommended bets

1pt Pontus Jansson to score anytime at 11/1

1pt Lewis Grabban to be shown a card at 6/1

1pt Ben Osborn to be shown a card at 6/1

1pt Tom Pearce to be shown a card at 9/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record


Leeds v Nottingham Forest (Elland Road, 1730 BST, Sky Sports Main Event)

Two of the division's pre-season title favourites meet at Elland Road as Leeds welcome Nottingham Forest in the late kick-off.

Marcelo Bielsa's men moved back to the top of the standings with victory over Ipswich in midweek, while Forest's convincing 3-0 win away at Bolton put them back up to seventh.

Leeds received a massive boost recently with Pablo Hernandez and Kemar Roofe's return to the side, with the two combining for the opener on Wednesday before the latter converted from close range.

The other goal in that game came as a result of a set-piece, and the hosts are more than equipped to pounce from a similar situation here.

The Whites have scored five of their 12 goals at home from set-pieces, the second-highest in the league, and they can capitalise on the fact that Forest have conceded the same amount from corners and free-kicks.

With Hernandez's return, Leeds have someone who can deliver an accurate set-piece which will be largely beneficial for someone like Pontus Jansson, who will also come back for this game after a one-match suspension.

The 27-year-old scored in Leeds' 1-1 draw with Brentford before the latest international break and is someone who can win plenty of aerial battles, especially in attacking positions.

Forest found themselves conceding two goals to a centre-back in their recent defeat to Norwich and while a brace is a bit unrealistic, one goal isn't when you factor in the contrasting fortunes from set-pieces.

Kemar Roofe heads home Leeds' opener v Ipswich
Kemar Roofe heads home Leeds' opener v Ipswich

The referee for this one is Geoff Eltringham and he is someone who isn't afraid to show a card when required.

He's already overseen one Forest game this season, showing six yellow cards in their 2-2 draw with Wigan, while also handing out three yellow cards in Leeds' 3-0 win over Preston.

This game does have a potential for cards, especially when you consider that bookings seem to be a regular occurrence in games held at Elland Road this season.

Leeds' last five home games have seen a total of 295 booking points, which works out as an average of just under 60 per game, while Forest's average sits at just above 50 in their last five away.

Lewis Grabban has committed the joint-highest amount of fouls of any Forest player so far this season and has collected two yellow cards already, his 22 joined by midfielder Jack Colback.

When you consider those factors, the 6/1 on offer for him to be shown a card in this contest looks decent value as he battles for his ninth goal of the season.

Elsewhere, Ben Osborn provides value at the same price with his position on the pitch. The 24-year-old has been switching between left-midfield and left-back for the majority of this season and will have to deal with the skilful Hernandez out wide.

Leeds' style of play will also allow Ayling to overlap and they seem to have a lot of joy attacking down their right side when Hernandez is in the team. Osborn, if he starts, faces a real possibility of catching the referee's attention.

For the home side, Tom Pearce is set for a spot in the starting XI with Gaetano Berardi and Barry Douglas missing out through injury. The youngster joined the Ipswich game from the bench and has proved to be someone who isn't afraid to tackle when required.

Similar to their opponents, Forest do possess quality out wide with Gil Dias and Matty Cash providing a threat down their attacking right side. Given the fact that the left-back has only featured in six games in the Championship, Pearce's inexperience could lead to him finding himself in the book.

Score prediction: Leeds 2-1 Nottingham Forest (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)

Best bet: Pontus Jansson to score anytime at 11/1

Best bet: Lewis Grabban to be shown a card at 6/1

Best bet: Ben Osborn to be shown a card at 6/1

Best bet: Tom Pearce to be shown a card at 9/1

Nottingham Forest celebrate after scoring
Nottingham Forest celebrate after scoring

Opta facts

  • Leeds have won two of their last three league matches against Nottingham Forest (D1) – they had won none of their eight prior to this run (D3 L5).
  • Since scoring seven goals in a 7-3 win in March 2012, Nottingham Forest have scored just four goals in six league matches at Elland Road against Leeds.
  • Leeds United playmaker Pablo Hernandez is creating a chance, on average, every 24 minutes in the Championship this season – the best ratio of any player to play 500 minutes; he has registered four assists, with only Conor Hourihane assisting more (5).
  • Nottingham Forest have won their last two away matches – as many as in their previous 22 away games in all competitions; Forest haven’t won three consecutive away league matches since March 2013 under Billy Davies.
  • Leeds United haven’t dropped a single point from leading positions in the Championship this season, winning all seven games in which they’ve gone ahead.
  • Nottingham Forest manager Aitor Karanka has never won a league match at Elland Road (P3 W0 D1 L2) – his first Championship match was a 1-2 loss away at Leeds in November 2013 as Middlesbrough manager.

Odds correct as of 1555 BST on 26/10/18

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Most Read Football

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