Rory Delargy and David Massey are back with a look ahead to Monday's racing on the eve of Royal Ascot.
Racing betting tips: Monday June 15
0.5pts reverse forecast Albeseeingyer/Blufferonthebus in 16:23 Carlisle
0.5pts e.w. Hammal in 17:35 Chepstow at 33/1 (Sky Bet 1/5 1,2,3,4) - take no lower
1pt e.w. Our Guy in 20:00 Windsor at 6/1 (bet365 1/5 1,2,3,4) - tale no lower
16:23 Carlisle
I fancy a couple of these to have the race to themselves, and while I wouldn’t normally be a forecast punter, I think there are good reasons to combine ALBESEEINGYER and BLUFFERONTHEBUS who can boast much the best course form.
Albeseeingyer is well handicapped on his best efforts and has a 7f record on easy ground of 111617002, improving to 1112 on right-handed tracks. That record includes a pair of C&D wins and a victory in this grade at Newmarket off 1lb higher. He’s perhaps not quite the force of old, but has conditions to suit and was better than the bare result on ground faster than ideal at Wetherby last time, suggesting he was running into form.
It’s easier to make a case for Blufferonthebus, who has two wins and ten in-frame finishes from a dozen runs at Carlisle, including an excellent second over a mile here last week. The shorter trip isn’t an issue for this adaptable mare and she won’t be fazed by being drawn widest of all.
17:35 Chepstow
HAMMAL hasn’t achieved much in four runs but he shaped a fair bit better at Bath last time, beaten less than five lengths despite only beating one home, and he might well have needed that outing, his first since January. That looked quite a good race for a 0-65 and it has worked out, with the first three home all winning again and the timefigure points to Hammal’s effort being a better effort than it first appears.
Max Young is a trainer who has done well with limited resources and this well-related five-year-old (cost 220,000 Gns as a yearling) is the type to do better with time, his profile suggesting he’s been slow to mature.
20:00 Windsor
OUR GUY is a good example of getting a mark over a trip before improving for a drop to sprinting, which is a rarer variation of the tried-and-tested method of getting a mark by running a stayer over sprint trips, so well used by the likes of Sir Mark Prescott.
Our Guy showed some ability in qualifying runs on the all-weather over the winter at up to a mile but was essentially too headstrong to show his true ability. The drop back to 6f worked the oracle when he made a winning handicap debut here last time, though, and he should be capable of following up given the benefit of that experience.
Trainer Denis Coakley is having a good season and his horses are often underbet, making the progressive Our Guy an attractive bet having gone up just 2lb for that breakthrough success.
Preview posted at 09:12 BST on 15/06/26
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