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The drying ground went against him at York two weeks ago but AL MUBHIR ran a cracker in the circumstances, and conditions will be much more to his liking on Friday. He’s at his best with cut in the ground and a repeat of his run in the Balmoral at the back end of last season will see him go very close here.
Emily Upjohn is undoubtedly the one to beat, she comes out 3 lb clear on the Timeform weight-adjusted ratings, but there are reasons to believe she might be below her best on unsuitably soft ground and what looks likely to be a slowly run race. The one who looks most likely to take advantage is LUXEMBOURG who is having just his third start at this trip, which has always promised to suit.
There doesn’t look any competition for the early lead and if Ryan Moore is allowed to set the fractions to his liking, the Ballydoyle inmate can land the fourth Group 1 of his career.
Richard Fahey has made no secret of the regard in which he holds NATIVE AMERICAN (read his thoughts here) and a lot of Fahey’s runners were underperforming when he disappointed at Newmarket on his return over a trip that probably stretched his stamina anyway.
The yard are going much better now and this drop back to seven furlongs with some ease underfoot will be much more suitable for this talented son of Sioux Nation.
DARKNESS finished second in this race last year and has been shaping well in defeat recently. He was badly hampered late on at Newmarket last time which cost him any chance of winning, but he’d have been bang there with a clear run and he’s been dropped 1 lb by the handicapper.
His last two runs have suggested he is ready to win again having dropped below his last winning mark and he goes well with some cut in the ground.
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