Big-race trends: Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot
We've teamed up with Weatherbys to look at some of the stats that you'll need to know ahead of Champions Day at Ascot.
2.00 Ascot - QIPCO British Champions Sprint Stakes
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TRENDS
- 9/10 - Had run at Ascot previously (5 of the 9 were previous course winners)
- 8/10 - Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
- 8/10 - Yet to win a Group 1 *
- 8/10 - Had won twice or less this season
- 8/10 - Had run 4 or more times this season
- 7/10 - Ran during September or October
- 5/10 - Contested Haydock’s Sprint Cup (4 of the 5 finished runner-up)
* this race was only upgraded to a Group 1 in 2015, so there is likely to be more Group 1 winners taking their chance going forward.
BETTRENDS SELECTION: THE TIN MAN
Sky Bet Price Boost: The Tin Man - was 3/1, NOW 7/2
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Slightly surprisingly, seven of the 14-strong field comply with six of the seven highlighted statistics, but the in-form The Tin Man gets the vote, as he only falls down on the basis of having previously won a Group One.
Given that this race was upgraded to Group One status in 2015, I would expect this trend to slowly fade away, with more top-class winners likely to attempt to end their campaign here (previously, fewer ran due to being penalised).
The 2016 winner won the Sprint Cup last time, where he beat Brando, who also warrants plenty of respect. He, too, falls down on that sole statistic and this pair would appear to have a slight class edge on the other quintet that tick six boxes.
Kevin Ryan’s six-year-old looks to become the fifth horse in eight years to go one place better than he did at Haydock.
Of those at bigger odds, Projection and Donjuan Triumphant also scored well on this year’s trends, so could be worth considering each-way.
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