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Euro 2024 football tips, predictions and best bets: Stick with the favs on day five
Football betting tips: Euro 2024 best bets
2.5pts Turkey to beat Georgia and over 1.5 goals at 5/4 (Betfair)
1pt Bernardo Silva 2+ tackles in Portugal vs Czechia at 5/4 (William Hill)
Turkey vs Georgia
- Kick-off time: 17:00 BST, Tuesday
- TV channel: BBC One
- Home 7/10 | Draw 5/2 | Away 4/1
It'll be a special night in Dortmund as Georgia play their first major tournament match, but even the most romantic part of me cannot envisage an upset.
The muddled nature of UEFA's qualification process means they simply are not good enough to be here after finishing fourth of five teams in a qualifying group Scotland waltzed through, winning just two of eight games, suffering a 7-1 home thrashing by Spain on the way.
They sit 75th in the FIFA world rankings with Albania (66th) the only other nation at Euro 2024 who are ranked outside the world's top 50.
So how are Georgia even here? Winning a fourth-tier Nations League division containing Bulgaria, North Macedonia and Gibraltar set up a home play-off semi-final against renowned European big hitters Luxembourg.
After seeing them off, they survived 120 goalless minutes at home to Greece before winning on penalties to secure a place amongst Europe's 'elite'.
TURKEY, meanwhile, won a group containing tournament stalwarts Croatia and a Wales side who had qualified for three of the past four major tournaments.
Only one of Turkey's eight qualifiers didn't go OVER 1.5 GOALS while all Georgia's did, so combining those selections and taking the market-leading 5/4 with Betfair feels like a serious bet.
Victory for Vincenzo Montella's side would be a huge step towards the knockout stage, something the perennial dark horses haven't taken part in at any major tournament since 2008.
Portugal vs Czechia
- Kick-off time: 20:00 BST, Monday
- TV channel: BBC One
- Home 4/9 | Draw 100/30 | Away 11/2
The way Roberto Martinez has rebuilt Portugal after the crushing disappointment of a quarter-final defeat by Morocco at the 2022 World Cup has been seriously impressive, with a 100% record in qualifying, 36 goals scored and just two conceded.
His reshaped team has been based on maximising the effectiveness of key duo Cristiano Ronaldo, sidelined in something of a circus two years ago, and Bruno Fernandes by putting the right personnel in the right roles around them.
BERNARDO SILVA is one of those players, with the Manchester City midfielder - who by no means lacks quality himself - being effectively utilised in more of a supporting role as he more often is at club level.
His ability to cover vast areas of the pitch, close space and make challenges is essential to the functioning of this Portugal team, and the 5/4 about him completing 2+ TACKLES on Tuesday night looks a touch large.
It’s no surprise to see several bookmakers go as short as 4/7 for the same selection, but with a few willing to offer odds-against quotes for an encounter where Czechia will be penned in for large swathes of the match with Bernardo tasked to force them back, this looks a runner.
Odds correct at 1200 BST (17/06/24)
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