Every week Pep's Manchester City are priced up at ridiculously short prices and it’s obvious to see why.
However, if you’d backed them to cover the -1 handicap over the last seven league games you’d only have collected once in the 2-0 win v West Ham. The 6-1 thrashing of Aston Villa on January 12 seems a distant memory.
In-form Burnley arrive at the Etihad unbeaten in seven and that includes wins over Leicester and Manchester United alongside draws with Arsenal and Tottenham. They're no pushovers and if City show the lack of intensity that we saw at Old Trafford last week, Burnley can keep it to a single goal defeat.
It is FA Cup and Champions League focus only for the blue side of Manchester.
You may be bored by now with the Watford love-in you have to put up with in my articles but I’m back again this weekend for more punishment.
Since Nigel Pearson took over in December his home record is sensational. 4-1-1 is fantastic especially when you consider it includes Wolves, Manchester United and the champions elect Liverpool.
Leicester have been brilliant this season under Brendan Rodgers but the Foxes have two wins from the last ten trips to Vicarage Road. Plus, add in that referee Stuart Atwell has officiated in just one Leicester victory in his last eight games when picking up the whistle.
A weird stat but one worth noting is that he really doesn’t seem to get on with them. You can have 11/10 Draw No Bet which is more than fair. For the Hornets bonus add in over 3.5 Cards or 40+ booking points.
Backers would have collected on over cards in seven of Atwell's last nine games and if you add in the spice of Pearson managing against his old side then there must be fireworks. By the way, there were eight yellows in Watford's 1-0 loss at Palace last week.
Good luck.
Recommended bets
- 1pts Burnley +2 v Man City
- 1pts Watford draw no bet v Leicester
- 1pts 40+ booking points v Leicester
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Odds correct as of 1000 GMT on 12/03/20
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