Leeds United travel to Brentford in crucial match for the Whites. Joe Rindl though is backing the Bees with his best bet and score prediction.
Football betting tips: Premier League
1pt Brentford to win at 6/4 (SpreadEx)
1pt Brentford to win and both teams to score at 3/1 (General)
Leeds need to better Burnley's result to stay up. If they lose away to Brentford on Sunday afternoon they are down no matter what happens elsewhere.
Worryingly for Jesse Marsch and his side is their horrific away form over the course of the season, they have allowed an average of 2.05 xGA per away game this term.
Leeds’ four away wins this season have come against already-relegated Norwich and Watford, an out-of-form Wolves team, and, more optimistically for Sunday, a very strong performance at West Ham in January.
Even so, exactly half of Leeds’ away trips in 2021-22 have ended in defeat.
In contrast, Brentford have been one of the better home teams in the league this term, collecting the seventh most expected points (xP) and posting the seventh best home xG process (1.67 xGF, 1.06 xGA per game).
While those around them have cantered, the Bees have been buzzing as the season comes to a close, winning seven of their last 10 while averaging 1.99 xGF and 1.30 xGA per game.
Currently in 11th, should they win and results go their way, they could finish as high as ninth in their debut season in the Premier League.
This campaign there’s been a gap in quality between these two sides. BRENTFORD TO WIN at 6/4 (SpreadEx) is a price I am happy to get behind.
I’m also interested in the 3/1 general price of BRENTFORD TO WIN AND BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE.
Four of Brentford’s last seven wins have seen that bet land, while Leeds have managed to find the net in two of their past three matches.
With so much to play for, they’ll keep pushing even if they go three or four goals down.
Brentford v Leeds score prediction and best bets
- 1pt Brentford to win at 6/4 (SpreadEx)
- 1pt Brentford to win and both teams to score at 3/1 (General)
Score prediction: Brentford 2-1 Leeds (Sky Bet odds: 15/2)
Odds correct 1430 BST (20/05/22)
More from Sporting Life
- Fixtures, results and live scores
- Expert xG analysis and features
- Transfer news and done deals
- Football and other sports tips
- Download our free iOS and Android app
- Podcasts and video content
Safer gambling
We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.
If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.
Further support and information can be found at begambleaware.org and gamblingtherapy.org.