Football betting tips: World Cup qualifiers & League Two
2pts Raphinha to be carded in Argentina vs Brazil (00:00) at 9/4 (Sky Bet)
0.5pts Raphinha to score anytime in Argentina vs Brazil (00:00) at 5/1 (bet365)
0.25pts Raphinha to score and be carded in Argentina vs Brazil (00:00) at 13/1 (Sky Bet, Betfair, Paddy Power)
Argentina vs Brazil
- Kick-off time: 12:00 GMT, Wednesday
- TV: Premier Sports 1
- Home 5/4 | Draw 19/10 | Away 23/10
Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill
Argentina hosts Brazil at midnight tonight, officially that makes it Wednesday morning but I don’t want anyone to get caught out - not least because it looks rife for cards.
According to their quote of 150/1 for the match to have no cards, bet365 reckon the chance of this contest being played out in a courteous manner is less than 1%. Get in.
It therefore won’t come as a surprise to see the same firm have priced up five players at evens or shorter to be shown a card and 23 players under 2/1.
Luckily, Sky Bet have been a little bolder in this market where RAPHINHA's price of 9/4 TO BE CARDED appeals after his recent comments.
Raphinha has three cards in nine starts for Brazil, including one in the reverse, equalling his La Liga tally for the season in 18 fewer appearances.
He has also netted five times (0.59 goals per 90) making his price of 5/1 TO SCORE ANYTIME a touch too big. I'll also be combining Raphinha TO SCORE and BE CARDED at 13/1 given the context.
- CLICK HERE to back Raphinha to score anytime with Sky Bet
- CLICK HERE to back Raphinha to score and be carded with Sky Bet
Odds correct at 1400 GMT (25/03/25)
Already advised
2pts Port Vale to beat Barrow (19:30) at evens (Coral, Ladbrokes)
0.5pts Kadeem Harris to score anytime in Carlisle vs MK Dons (19:45) at 9/2 (bet365)
Port Vale vs Barrow
- Kick-off time: 19:30 GMT, Tuesday
- Home 10/11 | Draw 21/10 | Away 14/5
Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill
PORT VALE’s 1-0 win over Morecambe means they have only lost one League Two game since the turn of the year (W7 D6).
Their form at Vale Park has been brilliant all season, only losing twice. Doncaster beat them 3-2 in August and Walsall - who were flying at the time, won 1-0 in December.
The Valiants last two victories have come to nil, they have only conceded 14 times on their own patch this term and have kept clean sheets in eight of their 18 home games.
Tuesday’s visitors Barrow have picked up since Andy Whing took charge (W2 D2 L2) and are unbeaten across their last four games.
Darren Moore’s men will have to be wary but the price about a home WIN is simply too big.
Odds correct at 1330 GMT (24/03/25)
Carlisle vs MK Dons
- Kick-off time: 19:45 GMT, Tuesday
- TV: Sky Sports+
- Home 13/10 | Draw 21/10 | Away 9/5
Jimmy 'The Punt' Cantrill
A spot alongside Jimmy Glass in Cumbrian folklore awaits Mark Hughes if he can pull off the great escape.
Carlisle beat Bromley 2-1 on Saturday and another victory against MK Dons in midweek could move them to within four points of safety with eight games to go.
For now, Hughes is more interested in replicating Saturday's performance after securing his first home win on the weekend.
KADEEM HARRIS hit the woodwork twice against Bromley, taking four shots in total and racking up an xG of 1.37.
Harris has started all nine league games under Hughes and had at least one shot on six occasions, racking up an xG of 1.94 without finding the net.
At 9/2 TO SCORE ANYTIME I fancy his fortunes to change here - some firms have the same angle at 14/5.
MK Dons have only kept one league clean sheet on the road this season and only Newport (39) and Tranmere (36) have conceded more away goals than their 35.
Odds correct at 1415 GMT (24/03/25)
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