13:20 Ludlow Thu 16 January 2020

  • C.B.Security Novices' Hurdle (Div 2) (Class 4)
  • 1m 7f 169y, Soft
  • 12 Runners
  • Winner£4,224.002nd£1,240.003rd£620.004th£310.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:4m 6.7sOff time:13:25:51
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
100/1

0-7 in the point-to-point sphere, and was well-beaten over 1m6f in a bumper at this track on rules debut last month. This looks a better contest on paper, and so he cannot be fancied at all.

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2
611-4OR:
8/11

Placed in a decent bumper on rules debut in November 2018, but got no further than the first on hurdles/seasonal debut at Ascot (2m; good to soft) in November. Had plenty of time to recover from that, and so he is a major player for in-form yard.

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3
511-4OR:
66/1

Was never dangerous but did take a step forward from what was a very low-key hurdles debut to finish in midfield at Exeter (2m2f; soft) on New Years Day. This is another competitive event, and he will be of more interest when entering handicaps.

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4
611-4OR:
4/1

Ran better than expected (sent off at 50-1) on hurdles debut when just missing out on the placings to finish fourth at Hereford (2m3f; soft) last month. That was an improvement on his efforts in bumpers, but he needs to prove it was no fluke.

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5
511-4OR:
11/1

Well-bred and made the perfect start to life under rules when making a winning debut in a bumper at Wincanton (2m; good to firm). Likely to encounter different ground conditions, but it is significant that Johnson opts to ride him over Java Point.

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6
511-4OR: BF
11/2

Point-to-point winner who has shown smart form in bumpers without winning (sent off as favourite on both occasions). Now makes hurdles debut, and is a prospect to look forward to. Champion jockey jumps ship to ride Hunting Percival though.

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7
511-4OR:
100/1

Sent off at 5-1 but ran nowhere near market expectations when tailed-off at Newton Abbot (2m; good) in May 2019. Now makes seasonal/hurdles debut with a lot to prove. Could have improved since then though so watch the market.

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8
511-4OR:
100/1

£5,000 three-year-old. Looked to be booked for third before he unseated his rider in a Larkhill (2m4f; good) point-to-point 46 days ago. Now makes rules/hurdles debut but is likely to need the experience first time out.

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9
511-4OR: 112
12/1

Failed to back up promising Ffos Las (2m; soft) second on his penultimate start when tailed-off at Hereford (2m3f; soft) next time out. Not seen since (50 days), which is slightly concerning, and he needs to bounce back.

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10
610-11OR:
16/1

One of two runners in this for the yard. Would need to step up significantly on the form of her most recent effort when sixth at Market Rasen (2m; good to soft) in what looked a pretty moderate event.

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11
410-7OR:
33/1

Has probably ran to a similar level on each of his two starts over hurdles, most recently when a well-beaten sixth behind the exciting Mick Pastor over C&D. Difficult to see him getting involved, and he can be ruled out with confidence.

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12
410-0OR:
100/1

Wasn't unfancied (sent off 8-1) on hurdles debut at Doncaster (2m; good to soft) recently, but ran poorly finishing a distant 11th of 13. Marked improvement required in what looks a competitive event on paper. Readily opposed.

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Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Allart (8/11), Eau Top (4/1), Java Point (11/2), Hunting Percival (11/1), The Wire Flyer (12/1), Prussia With Love (16/1), Twpsyn (33/1), Apache Creek (66/1), It Can Be Done (100/1), Ahead Of Schedule (100/1), Steel Yard (100/1), Perfect Percy (100/1)

Verdict

After being well-fancied on each of his two starts in bumpers, Java Point hasn't been disgraced despite not winning either of them. Being a winning point-to-pointer, he should improve significantly for a hurdle. However, it looks significant that Richard Johnson has chosen to ride Hunting Percival instead. The aforementioned horse should be bang there, but this is a different test to the one he faced when making a winning debut under rules in a bumper on faster ground. Therefore, the selection is ALLART who fell on hurdles debut and must learn to settle better, but the form of his third in a bumper at Newbury is working out very well and he can set the record straight.
  1. Allart
  2. Hunting Percival
  3. Java Point

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Glynn

F: 1-

T: N J Henderson

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F: 33-4221

T: C L Tizzard

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F: 11/F-111

T: W P Mullins

Paisley Park

F: 11111-1

T: Miss E C Lavelle

Third Time Lucki

F: 2-31

T: D Skelton