15:35 Windsor

Monday 14 October 2019

All14:0014:3015:0515:3516:1016:4017:1017:15

Sky Sports Racing On Sky 415 Handicap

Class 4  |   6f 12y  |   Heavy  |   13 Runners  |   Turf
1
(14)
Youkanp119
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-7  |  J: Jason Watson |  T: W S Kittow|  OR: 79
12/1

Dual winner with cut in the ground, the latter when on this mark at Haydock 13-months ago. Several pieces of form from earlier this season would give him claims from this mark, if cheekpieces help him bounce back to that level.

2
(9)
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-7  |  J: James Doyle |  T: R A Teal|  OR: 80|  D
11/2

Declared Sunday Goodwood 3.40. Has been consistent this season, winning on his reappearance at Ascot (6f, soft), when 9lb lower, and being thereabouts in all starts since. Should be capable of picking up some more prize money.

3
(8)
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-7  |  J: Oliver Searle |  T: B R Millman|  OR: 79|  C|  D
10/1

Has scored twice over 6f this season, one on soft, and is 3lb higher than his most recent success. Has won here, but needs to pull out more as his latest 4½L second suggests.

4
(3)
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-6  |  J: Tom Marquand |  T: Ed Walker|  OR: 78|  C
5/1

Dual winner here over 5f, including on soft. Yet to win over this far, but does get the trip, as shown by his 'bridesmaid' role on all his last three starts. Handicapper can't drop him as a result of those, however, so more needed for another win.

5
(13)
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-5  |  J: Jack Mitchell |  T: M Quinn|  OR: 77|  D
10/1

Multiple winner from 6f-1m, including on soft. Latest of those came at Newmarket in August, when 2lb lower. Was a bit too keen when beaten last time, but won from 5lb higher last year, so still possibilities from this mark.

6
(4)
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-5  |  J: S P Davis |  T: R A Fahey|  OR: 77|  D
12/1

Heavy ground winner of the Bronze Cup (6f) at Ayr last year, when 6lb higher. Inconsistent this season, but would be a big player from this mark if able to produce something similar to his best three runs of the campaign.

7
(12)
Smokey Lane6(ex 10)
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-5  |  J: Harry Bentley |  T: P D Evans|  OR: 67|  CD
8/1

Arrives seeking a hat-trick after wins in the mud both here over C&D and again at Leicester, both last week. Carries a double penalty now. Recent record suggests that may be too much for him, but certainly can't rule him out in current form.

8
(7)
Age: 6|  Weight: 9-4  |  J: Seamus Cronin |  T: Mohamed Moubarak|  OR: 76|  D
14/1

Soft ground winner at both Newbury and Nottingham this year, the latter when 8lb lower on his penultimate start. Well held when upped to this grade last time, so there's a bit for him to prove.

10
(1)
Age: 5|  Weight: 9-3  |  J: Finley Marsh |  T: B R Millman|  OR: 75|  D
8/1

Took her a few starts to fully fire this season, but won at Bath (5½f, good to soft) in August, when 3lb lower, and has been thereabouts in both starts since. Exposed, but can't ruled her out of the money again.

11
(11)
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: G Mosse |  T: M R Channon|  OR: 75|  D
8/1

Fast ground Pontefract winner (6f) in novices' company in May. Has been unable to match that level of form since. Ran well at Goodwood (heavy) last time, but back up 5lb for that. More needed.

12
(2)
Age: 9|  Weight: 9-2  |  J: Megan Nicholls |  T: B Barr|  OR: 74|  D
16/1

Declared Sunday Goodwood 3.40. Went close when fourth at Goodwood in June, when 3lb higher. Has claims based on that performance, but held since, so needs to bounce back.

13
(10)
Age: 4|  Weight: 9-1  |  J: George Rooke |  T: P R Chamings|  OR: 73|  D
10/1

Took him 17 starts to get off the mark, but has now won three this year, including over 6f on soft at Goodwood. Latest success was when getting up late at Bath (5½f, soft). Up 3lb for that and in a tougher race, so more needed.

14
(5)
Age: 3|  Weight: 9-1  |  J: Tyler Heard |  T: R Hughes|  OR: 74|  D
14/1

Won three times on fast ground last year, but has managed just one success in a seller (also good to firm) this term. Others preferred.

Non-Runners

9
(6)
Upstaging24
Weight: 9-3|  Age: 7
T: N Wilson  J: Non Runner
Betting

Forecast

Iconic Knight (5/1), Whelans Way (11/2), After John (8/1), Sweet Pursuit (8/1), Smokey Lane (8/1), Spanish Star (10/1), Handytalk (10/1), Colonel Frank (10/1), Lucky Lucky Man (12/1), Youkan (12/1), Rasheeq (14/1), More Than Likely (14/1), Blaine (16/1), Upstaging (N/A)

Verdict
Headgear could help Youkan, who would be a player if that was the case, from a mark on which he has already proved very competitive. Whelans Way, Iconic Knight, Smokey Lane and Colonel Frank should all be thereabouts, but with Richard Fahey among the winners and having saddled the winner of this race itself a couple of times in recent years, it could be worth taking the chance that LUCKY LUCKY MAN can produce one of his optimum efforts. If that is the case, he should go very close.
  1. Lucky Lucky Man
  2. Youkan
  3. Whelans Way
Prize Money
1st: £5,208.002nd: £1,550.003rd: £774.004th: £387.005th: £300.006th: £300.007th: £300.008th: £300.00

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