15:30 Chepstow Thu 18 July 2019

  • Cavendish Maine Handicap (Class 6)
  • 6f 16y, Good to Firm (Good in places)
  • 12 Runners
  • Winner£2,782.002nd£828.003rd£414.004th£300.005th£300.006th£300.007th£300.008th£300.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 10.12sOff time:15:33:46
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1
(6)
99-10OR: 58D
7/2

Well beaten in a rough race last week, and that effort best forgiven, but he would hold a squeak on his May C&D third here (in better grade). Ideally needs to be away on terms (can be slow away) but one with a chance.

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2
(13)
59-10OR: 58D
20/1

On a good mark on this first run for a new yard (4lb lower than last win) but not seen out since last December and is more than likely to need the run. Conditions fine though, so worth a quick market check.

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4
(11)
79-6OR: 54CD
11/2

In the frame last couple of starts at Bath but in truth, well held on both occasions. Has course form and Tom Marquand a good booking, so has some plus points, and now just 2lb higher than last win. Not totally written off here.

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5
(7)
69-5OR: 53CD
3/1

Bounced right back to form when winning over C&D last time out, that win rather coming out of nowhere (went off 25-1) after being well beaten previously. Might now be back on track and despite 5lb rise, still looks to hold a leading chance.

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6
(10)
39-4OR: 57
14/1

Showed a bit more on last start, running on through beaten horses at Newbury and probably fairly handicapped on that, but that was last September and she's not been seen since, which has to be a concern. Others preferred.

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7
(4)
89-4OR: 52D
12/1

Two starts this spring suggest he might be coming back to some form, and given the ground was soft enough for him at Goodwood last time, that effort can be marked up a bit. Has C&D form and holds a small chance.

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8
(5)
49-3OR: 51
9/2

Had looked to be on the slide before stopping the rot with a better effort over C&D last time out, finishing third. Chance if he can build on that but does face competition for the lead here, and on that, others make a bit more appeal.

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9
(2)
79-1OR: 49D
11/1

Just three wins in 65 starts shows you he's no win machine by any means, and it usually pays to oppose him. Almost nicked one from the front at Brighton two starts ago but bottom line is that he's likely to find a few too good again.

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10
(3)
48-11OR: 45
40/1

No wins or places in 10 starts and came back from an absence to finish last of 12 at Windsor last month. Hard to make any sort of a case for here.

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11
(8)
38-9OR: 48
16/1

Three runs (for another yard) at Dundalk revealed little but it was a bit better on first start for this trainer when finishing midfield at Chester last month. Needs to build on that but young enough to, so could easily do better here.

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12
(1)
38-6OR: 45
16/1

Only beaten 2l when fourth over C&D two starts ago but that run rather stands out from her others when she's been well beaten in the main. Cheekpieces tried last time soon removed, and others make more appeal.

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13
(12)
38-6OR: 45
33/1

Well beaten all starts at huge prices and now a change of headgear is tried to get her showing something. Looks unlikely and she can't be entertained at present.

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Non-Runners

3
(9)
Eleuthera277
79-9OR: 57
T: J F LevinsJ: Donagh O'Connor

Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Castlerea Tess (3/1), Secondo (7/2), Jupiter (9/2), Jaganory (11/2), Eleuthera (7/1), Cool Strutter (11/1), Mad Endeavour (12/1), Gilt Edge (14/1), Shesadabber (16/1), Hide Your Heart (16/1), Tawaafoq (20/1), Little Anxious (33/1), Hold Your Breath (40/1)

Verdict

Castlerea Tess looks the obvious start point after her C&D win last time out and a repeat of that puts her bang there, but given she went off 25-1 and had shown little in her previous starts, that's not guaranteed. Jaganory isn't badly drawn and could put in a better effort, but a chance is taken on Irish raider ELEUTHERA. He's been absent for a while but given he has won fresh, that can be viewed as a positive rather than a negative. He's well handicapped and worth a bet here. Secondo will find this easier than one or two tasks he's faced and can take a prize home.
  1. Eleuthera
  2. Jaganory
  3. Secondo

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F: 5/

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F: 7/521-

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