15:05 Brighton Thu 18 October 2018

  • Happy Birthday Nelly Jolly Handicap (Class 6)
  • 1m 1f 207y, Good (Good to Firm in places)
  • 14 Runners
  • Winner£3,105.002nd£924.003rd£462.004th£300.005th£300.006th£300.007th£300.008th£300.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:2m 2.97sOff time:15:07:13
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(12)
49-10OR: 60
16/1

Returned from a seven month break to run a cracker at Chepstow in June but below that on return from a break. Presumably has had her issues and perhaps worth waiting till she gets back on soft ground.

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2
(9)
49-10OR: 60D
9/2

Bids for a hat-trick following wins over this distance at Nottingham and doing well to win over 7f at Leicester. No penalty and should have more to offer back up in trip. Rates a leading hope.

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3
(10)
59-9OR: 59D
12/1

Back on last winning mark and did race well enough over this C&D three runs back. Slow pace two starts ago and distance last time were valid excuses and could do better back here.

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4
(4)
49-7OR: 57C
6/4

Has really progressed with back-to-back wins over 1m4f at this course. Up 8lb but won with loads in hand last time and looks sure to go close.

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5
(1)
69-6OR: 56BFCD
33/1

Twice a C&D winner and three of his four wins have come over this distance. In form with two seconds over further and should be involved back in trip.

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6
(2)
49-6OR: 56CD
13/2

Yet to add to two wins at the end of last season despite being on a good mark. Needs to bounce back from three disappointing runs.

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7
(16)
39-4OR: 58
66/1

Six-race maiden who didn't really improve on first try at this distance and plenty of progress required to be involved.

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8
(3)
39-2OR: 56BF
20/1

10-race maiden who has been a beaten favourite in two of her last three starts. Disappointing effort at Bath and although trip and ground may help, his stable are quiet at present.

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9
(5)
69-0OR: 50D
16/1

Came close to adding to sole success when running on well after encountering traffic problems over a mile. That was a weak contest but he will be suited by this trip.

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10
(13)
48-13OR: 49BF
9/1

18-race maiden who has been placed on eight occasions. Below her best in two starts for this stable and others preferred.

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11
(15)
78-11OR: 47D
12/1

In good form with a win and two thirds and just found the mile against him at Bath. Suited by return to this trip and should go well again.

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12
(11)
68-11OR: 47C
40/1

Won over a mile here last year but has been nowhere near that level in four runs this season and is looking regressive.

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14
(6)
38-8OR: 48
66/1

Yet to place in 10 starts over a variety of distances and little promise to be taken in first two runs for this stable.

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15
(14)
38-8OR: 48
66/1

Slowly away and never got involved in all three starts for Clive Cox and tailed off on first run for new trainer. Easy to dismiss.

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Non-Runners

13
(8)
Willsy35
58-10OR: 45
T: Frank BishopJ: Non Runner
16
(7)
Dracarys56
38-6OR: 45
T: K O Cunningham-BrownJ: M Dwyer

Last Year's Winner

DRAWHORSEAWGTSP
7Sussex Girl39-36/1Full Result
T: John BerryJ: Nicola Currie

Betting

Forecast

Kirkland Forever (6/4), Channel Packet (9/2), Sussex Girl (13/2), Rocksette (9/1), Altaira (12/1), Windsorlot (12/1), Power Home (16/1), Diamond Reflection (16/1), Unbridled Spirit (20/1), Tommys Geal (33/1), Willsy (33/1), Captain Marmalade (40/1), Dracarys (50/1), Dawn Of Reckoning (66/1), Arabian Fairytale (66/1), Monsieur Fox (66/1)

Verdict

Two horses bidding for a hat-trick stand out with preference for CHANNEL PACKET who gets to race off the same mark as his latest win over a trip that is ideal. Kirkland Forever is an obvious danger but may be less suited by the distance. Windsorlot is respected over this C&D as is Tommys Geal who is in good heart. Altaira can't be dismissed back up to this distance.
  1. Channel Packet
  2. Kirkland Forever
  3. Tommys Geal

Video Replay

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Most Followed

Frodon

F: 21350-1

T: P F Nicholls

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F: 86800-3

T: N A Twiston-Davies

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Battleoverdoyen

F: 1/1

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T: R Craggs

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