18:55 Tipperary Mon 14 May 2018

  • Ballykisteen Handicap (45-65)
  • 7f 40y, Soft to Heavy
  • 16 Runners
  • Winner€6,160.002nd€1,910.003rd€910.004th€410.005th€160.00
  • Surface: Turf
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Weighed In

Winning time:1m 37.5sOff time:18:58:19
NEW! Keep an eye out for ‘Insights’ against a horse for additional clues towards its chance! Read more...
1
(10)
49-13OR: 64
7/1

Maiden, ran well enough at Dundalk on the AW recently and has previously gone well around this track. Not out of this from current mark.

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2
(3)
59-12OR: 63
13/2

Poor strike rate (1-25) but signs were positive on the AW at Dundalk when less than 2L down in fourth over 1m. 5lb higher back on turf.

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3
(6)
79-8OR: 59CD
7/1

Former C&D winner has now gone 19 runs without adding to tally. Struggled on turf during 2017 but rating plummeting as a result and ran with more relish on the AW recently.

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4
(8)
49-4OR: 55
20/1

Thrice-raced maiden has failed to get in any serious blow in two AW claimers so far in 2018, returns to turf and makes handicap mark from what isn't a demanding rating but still has to show improvement.

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5
(2)
49-2OR: 53
16/1

Better effort last month on handicap bow at Cork (5½f, yielding to soft), may build on that now sent up in trip.

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6
(12)
49-0OR: 51
20/1

Sole career win came in AW seller at Wolverhampton in 2016 over 6f, no sign of trend changing in four starts for this handler so far. Beaten 6L back on turf at Navan last month on similar ground to what is likely here.

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7
(16)
68-12OR: 49D
14/1

All three career wins have come on turf, latest over 7f (heavy) in October from 1lb lower rating. Poor in all three runs since over longer trips, has to bounce back down in distance.

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8
(11)
48-12OR: 49
20/1

Six-race maiden, the filly produced a much better effort over 7f at Dundalk on the AW this month returning from a 207-day absence. She may have some claims if able to build on that pleasing return.

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9
(4)
48-11OR: 48
20/1

Filly once won a 5f Sandown maiden for Andrew Balding in 2016 but has been a tale of woe since. Failed to beat a rival home in debut for this trainer at Dundalk (6f, AW) in March and looks best avoided.

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10
(9)
68-9OR: 46D
33/1

Well beaten all recent starts, all at big prices, and looks to have no realistic chance here on the back of last month's tame effort at Leopardstown.

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11
(14)
48-8OR: 45
14/1

Young enough to improve but in truth has to, as she's not shown much in nine starts so far and her mark is already falling quickly.

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12
(7)
108-8OR: 45D
12/1

Now ten-years-old but she returned from a break with a fair effort at Dundalk (7f, AW) eight days ago, running on for 1L fifth of 14. Could have a say if building on that run.

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13
(1)
78-8OR: 45
3/1

Ran a stormer at Curragh (5f, yielding to soft) on Saturday when just collared in the final stride. Stamina for this trip remains open to some debate but interesting if turned out quickly.

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14
(15)
58-8OR: 45
8/1

Improved effort on seasonal bow at Cork (7f, heavy) last month when just over 4L third of 17 off this handicap mark. Interesting to see if she can step up on that run what isn't a strong event.

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15
(13)
48-8OR: 45
50/1

Acclamation filly of fairly limited ability on what she's shown on the racecourse another heavy defeat inflicted on reappearance at Cork (7f, heavy) last month and nigh-on impossible to recommend.

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16
(5)
108-8OR: 45CD
14/1

This will the 120th race of his career (six wins) but hasn't scored on turf since 2014. Recent form at Dundalk on the AW in four starts for this trainer mean he can't be discounted, but would be a surprise winner.

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Non-Runners

17
Invincible Queen29
49-1OR: 52
T: Mark FaheyJ: Reserve 1
18
Frozen Moon63
48-8OR: 45
T: T CollinsJ: Reserve 2
19
Dressednblack11
58-8OR: 45
T: T DoyleJ: Reserve 3

Last Year's Winner

Last year's winner is unavailable

Betting

Forecast

Gopsies Daughter (3/1), Military Hill (13/2), Northern Surprise (7/1), Kendwar (7/1), Miss Opportunity (8/1), Dressednblack (8/1), Full Shilling (12/1), Forevertwentyone (14/1), Ask Katie (14/1), Oor Jock (14/1), Frozen Moon (14/1), Taras Way (16/1), Night Law (20/1), Clonville (20/1), Building Year (20/1), Tennessee Rose (20/1), Invincible Queen (20/1), William Ashford (33/1), Money In My Pocket (50/1)

Verdict

Gopsies Daughter ran a stormer in a competitive Curragh spring over the weekend and will have her supporters if turned out quickly. There does remain a question-mark over this trip however. Kendwar could be well-treated coming back here under Ben Coen's 7lb claim after a decent run at Dundalk while Military Hill is liable to run well enough without taking top prize. CLONVILLE produced a better effort on return at Dundalk when ridden positively and remains lightly-raced enough to suggest she can build on that effort by scoring here.
  1. Clonville
  2. Kendwar
  3. Gopsies Daughter

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