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Racing tips: Best bets for Monday July 4

David Massey provides this afternoon's Punting Pointers and he is recommending two bets at Worcester.

Racing betting tips: Monday July 4

1pt win Gambie Tiep in the 4.30 Worcester at 8/1 (General, min 7/1)

1pt e.w Robeam in the 5.05 Worcester at 11/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6 Sky Bet, min 10/1)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair Sportsbook

4.30 Worcester

We've been with GAMBIE TIEP on his last two starts over fences and whilst there's been definite promise, there's been no returns, and that's down to him making mistakes at key times. In fact, he's made the same mistake at the same time on both occasions, namely taking off a bit too soon and dropping his hind legs in the fence, costing him momentum and his position. However, there no doubting how strongly he's travelled on both occasions, and he will win races.

Trainer Robert Walford brings him to Worcester's mini-fence hurdles to get his confidence back, and it might be just the ticket. I can see him taking to them and although his mark over hurdles is 3lb higher than it is over fences, that's neither here nor there as far as his overall mark goes as he looks capable of running to much higher once he gets his act together. He's worth staying with for the time being.


5.05 Worcester

ROBEAM continues in good form and looks a bit overpriced at present.

After his Southwell romp in May, the handicapper took action and raised him 7lb, but after a below-par run at Uttoxeter on his next start he bounced right back at Southwell, looking under pressure from some way out but he kept fighting them off until a back-to-form Envol De La Cour mugged him after the last. It still rates a very good effort (backed up with a very good time figure) and although he's been nudged up another couple of pounds, his mark is still below that which he started the year off.

He clearly gets on well with the brush hurdles and there seems no reason he won't run his race from the front again.

Lake View Drive catches the eye on his first start for the excellent Laura Morgan, and whilst I thought she did well with them first time up, my memory is playing tricks on me, as she's only 1-20 in the last two years. She will win races with him, but given that record, it might not be today.

The other horse who looked overpriced last night is the Andy Irvine-trained Monty's Award, another with a good course record, which reads 2123 including a single run over fences. A return to this venue conjured up an improved effort when 6¾ lengths third of 8 to D'jango over C&D last time, and he will be right in the mix if he can repeat that. His course record suggests he can, and Rory’s gone nap. So he must get a mention too.

Published at 0927 BST on 04/07/22

July winners:

  • Will appear here...

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