Saturday Bets of the Day: Free betting tips for racing, golf and F1

Saturday's best bets
Saturday's best bets

Our focus is on Royal Ascot for Saturday's best bets, but there's room too for the French Grand Prix and a fascinating spectacle on golf's European Tour.

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Racing

David Ord

I’m ducking the red-hot action at Royal Ascot to side with Irreverent in the Bob Valentine 80th Birthday Celebration Handicap at Ayr.

Trainer Richard Fahey had him pencilled in for a trip to Berkshire for the Britannia but that plan had to be scrapped when he ran below-par at Doncaster last time.

However you can forget that run as he was too keen in a small-field, tactical, affair and this race is set-up for him with a strong pace in the offing with the likes of Theatre Of War, Celebrtity Dancer and Regular in the field.

Irreverent appeals as well handicapped from a mark of 80 and can get his career back on track with victory here.

Ben Linfoot

Sir Michael Stoute’s Dream Of Dreams looks a good each-way bet in the Diamond Jubilee Stakes on the final day of Royal Ascot. Blue Point will be tough to beat, but if he is feeling the effects of Tuesday’s King’s Stand win then Dream Of Dreams could be the one to pick up the pieces. He looks better than ever at the age of five and put in a career-best performance at Windsor last time. Red-hot jockey Danny Tudhope takes over in the saddle and he has a fantastic strike-rate for Stoute (seven from 18 at 39 per cent).

Matt Brocklebank

Boundary Lane is a progressive sprinter who can regain the winning thread in Haydock’s Introducing Racing TV EBF Fillies’ Handicap on Saturday.

He’s performed admirably in defeat since making a winning seasonal return on his first outing for Michael Dods at Doncaster in April and looked a shade unlucky not to reel in the long-time leader Jabbarockie last time.

He’s gone up another 1lb for his troubles but the son of Mayson will enjoy the conditions once again and looks capable of rating much higher as the year goes on.

Simon Holt

For some time, the name Cape Byron has stood out to me in Saturday's Wokingham Handicap as the horse loves Ascot and the drop in trip from seven furlongs to six could well unleash further improvement.

Roger Varian's gelding has run five times on the straight course, winning for the second time in last month's Victoria Cup in which he held on gamely from Kynren, Kaeso (winner since) and Raising Sand. Both the second and fourth ran well again in the Hunt Cup on Wednesday.

Cape Byron ran in last year's Hunt Cup and was in front two furlongs out, but he patently failed to last home whereas over the seven furlongs of the Victoria Cup he was clearly travelling easily well over a furlong out.

I think he has plenty of tactical speed and, while up 4lb for that latest victory, he should have no trouble dropping back to what is likely to be a fast-run six furlongs.

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Formula One

F1 Insider

Hamilton has won five of the seven races to date and last year's French Grand Prix was arguably the champion's easiest cruise of the season.

This year his biggest challenge is likely to be to ensure he prevents Bottas from taking pole on Saturday to ensure he is in a position to control the race. The Finn leads 3-2 on that metric but Hamilton had the edge here 12 months ago and looks a solid favourite to head the grid again.

His consistency over the last few months has been extraordinary - his fifth place in Canada was the first race in 12 that he had been out of the top four - but only Monaco has seen him qualify in the top three this season.

That might not change at the Circuit Paul Ricard on Saturday but he should have similar race pace to the Ferraris on Sunday and pair his prodigious wheel-to-wheel skills with Red Bull's strategic guile to find a way past.

Two podiums from seven outings in 2019 suggests the 5/2 for a top-three finish is at least fair.

Golf

Ben Coley

It's been a dream week back in Germany for Martin Kaymer at the BMW International Open. He's taking a two-shot lead into the final 36 holes, this tournament having come at an ideal time in his rehabilitation following a couple of recent top-10 finishes. He's even holed a bunker shot.

This two-time major champion is not only leading on home soil, but he's also the best player in the field in terms of credentials. Yet, odd though it is to think of a major-winning PLAYERS champion this way, the real test was never whether he could play well for a round or two. It was whether he could kick on and finally collect some more silverware.

Kaymer hasn't won anything since the 2014 US Open. Five years is a very long time for a former world number one who made winning look like the most natural thing in the world over the first seven or eight years of his career, during which he won this title in 2008. The Kaymer who reached the top of the rankings would be a good thing from here and having put him up at 16/1 pre-tournament, my hope is that we see him reincarnated. Yet that's far from certain.

In fact, the bet at this stage has to be Matt Wallace. He's hitting the ball really well and knows what he has to do to catch Kaymer, having played with him over the first two rounds. The question mark with Wallace coming in was whether he could cope with the pressure of defending a title, particularly at a new course. The evidence of the first two days is that he is a strong contender to do so.

Wallace was a 10/1 shot pre-tournament, he's got just four players in front of him at halfway, yet he can be backed at 8/1 with four or even five places. Given that three of those ahead - Kim Koivu, Christiaan Bezhuidenhout and Sebastian Soderberg - are not (yet) of his class, he's by some margin the biggest danger to Kaymer and looks rock-solid to at least hit the frame.

Consider Max Schmitt, too. This youngster will carry almost as much local support as Kaymer and is considered by many to be his natural successor. At 50/1, he's priced as though the occasion is bound to get to him, but were Kaymer to keep pressing on then he might ride the support to a place.

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