Ten year trends for Thursday at Royal Ascot

Last Updated June 22 2017, 07:46Racing

Ian Ogg advised 25/1 Hunt Cup winner Zhui Feng yesterday, don't miss his stats for the Gold Cup and Britannia Stakes today.

Seven favourites have won the Gold Cup in the last 10 renewals and Aidan O'Brien's Yeats was responsible for three of those runnings.

The famous stayer won this race on four occasions and his trainer has landed this race a further three times since the last of them, including with this year's favourite Order Of St George.

Younger horses have held sway in recent years, winning all of the last five renewals, but representatives from their age group are relatively thin on the ground.

The notable exception is St Leger winner Harbour Law who has been overlooked in the market and his supporters will need to forgive a poor run on his reappearance but he went close in the Queen's Vase last year so this track clearly holds no fears for him. 

Simple Verse is another Leger winner to line up and she ran a fine race on her reappearance in the Yorkshire Cup; trainer Ralph Beckett has no concerns about her staying the longer tirp.

Torcedor is two out of two since joining Jessica Harrington and beat Order Of St George last time; he is unraced above Group Three company having made his pattern race debut last time.

Big Orange was impressive at Sandown last time and has his first top flight start in Britain and his first beyond two miles but no winner in this period has made all as is his customary fashion.

Order Of St George's claims are clear but the race has a decent each-way shape and Torcedor is preferred to Harbour Law due to his winning run last time.

* Winners have been aged four (5), five, six (2), seven and eight.

* Winners have been priced between 8/13 and 20/1 with eight at 6/1 or less.

* Seven favourites have won.

* Seven winners won their preceding start.

* Seven of the nine winners to have raced during the current Flat season were unbeaten.

* All winners had won over at least 1m 6f.

* Six winners had won a Group One race.

Six of the last seven winners of the Britannia Stakes have been returned at 14/1 or shorter so the market has proved to be a decent guide.

Winners have tended to be relatively lightly raced in the current season and have also come into Royal Ascot on the back of a decent run.

That in itself doesn't help to rule out too many in this competitive handicap but it's worth noting that the majority of winners had won as a two-year-old.

Son Of The Stars and Ronald R were separated by 1lb and a head when second and first at Newmarket but the former is strongly fancied to reverse the placings by the market.

At a similar price to Ronald R, a chance is taken with Maths Prize who has been absent since April but did miss an engagement at Haydock (Silver Bowl won by Rusumaat) due to underfoot conditions. 

Roger Charlton saddled Fifteen Love to win off the back of a similar absence in 2008 and his son of Royal Applause makes each-way appeal in a competitive handicap which should be more to his linking than the conditions race (featuring the Oaks winner and Musidora winner) in which he made his reappearance.

* Winners have carried between 8-4 and 9-7 with seven between 8-10 and 9-1.

* Winners have been rated between 87 and 104 with eight between 87 and 97.

* Winners have been priced between 6/1 and 33/1 with six at 14/1 or lower.

* One favourite has been successful with a further three placed.

* Seven winners had their preceding start in May, the exceptions in April and June (2).

* Eight winners finished in the first five on their preceding start. One of the exceptions ran in the French Derby.

* Winners had run one, two (5), three (3) and four times during the current season with eight successful.

* Nine winners had had between three and six career starts, the exceptions had 10 and 12 starts.

* Seven winners won as a juvenile (one of the exceptions unraced), only one earlier than June.

* Nine winners had won over at least seven furlongs.

* None of the winners had finished out of the frame in more than one handicap.

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David Ord heads to Redcar on Bank Holiday Monday for his best bet - a David O'Meara runner in the finale.

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Check out our horse racing nap of the day

Sporting Life: Daily Nap

David Ord heads to Redcar on Bank Holiday Monday for his best bet - a David O'Meara runner in the finale.

Trainer Mick Appleby

Monday's racing preview

Big Country is Keith Hamer's fancy for the Zetland Gold Cup at Redcar and he has a tip for every race in the UK and Ireland.

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