David Massey and Rory Delargy preview today's action and pick out a bet at Beverley they can't resist.
1.5pts win Bungley in 3.10 Beverley at 5/2 (Bet365, Unibet) - minimum 9/4
There’s a few in-form sorts for this low-grade Yarmouth handicap and whilst it’s easy to make cases for the likes of Priscilla’s Wish and Lincoln Red, the claims of Tilsworth Valerie from a stone out of the handicap are somewhat less clear. However, why don’t ya come on over, and I’ll explain all...
There’s been next to nothing in her form this calendar year but a couple of efforts at Chelmsford in the winter suggest she has the merest sliver of ability about her, and if that’s the case, the change of trainer from John Jenkins to the in-form Mike Murphy/Micheal Keady operation could see her take a step forward here.
Not only are the pair in rude form at the present time, they won first time up with Cooperation at Nottingham last week, the horse having seemingly lost his way for Robert Cowell, and was well backed to do so.
On goes a first-time hood (as it was with Cooperation...) and a tongue-tie, and they have gone to the trouble of booking Ali Rawlinson too. It’s interesting to note this will be her first start since the start of June, so they have had some time to work on her, and if they have found improvement then the fact she’s a stone out of the handicap becomes almost an irrelevance.
It may be she’s simply no good and even the trainer change ekes nothing out of her and if that’s the case we’re very sorry and we’ll never mention her again, but if there's a day to back her, it's today.
The market for this is very weak at present and is moving for pennies, so we can't recommend a bet at present. She'd be worth half a point at 40/1 and bigger, which we may well get later on.
It’s not impossible that a return to Beverley and a change to some stronger headgear could see Harry Love bounce back to form, but it was something of a laboured effort at Wolverhampton last time, all the more since he’d run well there the time before, and all things being equal, this really does look a very good chance for BUNGLEY to get off the mark for the season.
She too ran poorly last time but there are more ready excuses for that, as the ground had a bit of cut in it and she was in first-time cheekpieces, which are removed today (it was also Haydock, which is a valid excuse in itself, given its unique, custard-based surface).
Previous to that, Bungley used her customary front-running tactics to go very close over this C&D, her second good run on quick ground here this season, and conditions are important to her, being at her best at 7f or a sharp mile on quick ground.
Her profile in such conditions is a consistent one, which can’t be said for many of her rivals here, and her second to The Covex Kid on her return has been well advertised by the winner and third, who have won five times between them subsequently.
That was the last time she competed at Class 6 level, and the drop in class in a race lacking any other obvious pace can see her back to winning ways.
Published at 1020 BST on 10/08/22
We are committed in our support of safer gambling. Recommended bets are advised to over-18s and we strongly encourage readers to wager only what they can afford to lose.
If you are concerned about your gambling, please call the National Gambling Helpline / GamCare on 0808 8020 133.