Our star daily tipping duo of David Massey and Rory Delargy look ahead to today's racing and recommend a couple of each-way bets.
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1pt e.w. Lady Lade in 2.13 Hamilton at 6/1 (Sky Bet 1/5 1,2,3,4,5) - four places acceptable, min 11/2
0.5pts e.w. Pottlerath in 2.18 Newton Abbot at 11/2 (bet365 1/5 1,2,3) - min 5/1
Ben Lilly remains well treated on his Flat form but he does appear to have already found his level over hurdles, and isn’t improving. Despite a hatful of placings this summer, he looks worth taking on.
Present Storm was second to easy winner Ladykiller at Uttoxeter last time, the pair pulling clear, but the winner did little for the form next time and a 4lb rise, coupled with an extra 3½ furlongs to travel here, is enough to make me look elsewhere.
Back in fourth at Uttoxeter was POTTLERATH, who travelled up well into the race before getting tired late on and faded to fourth. He took his time breaking his duck (just the 29 starts) but once he got his head in front, he readily followed up and looked an improving horse.
He's pretty much proven over this 3m2½f trip, having been strong at the finish when winning over half a furlong shorter at Warwick last year and with the Uttoxeter run under his belt, he can continue his progression this season.
Wild Wilbur might be the danger if he’s fit for his reappearance, as he’s unexposed and has the potential to improve, but I’ll take the fitter Pottlerath to get the better of him.
A few of the firms are three places on this seven-horse race, and with stamina doubts about one or two of these, that looks the way to play him.
Mountain Ash is worth another try despite a slightly disappointing effort at Chepstow last time. The visor that was tried there lit him up and he raced too keenly, leaving little for his finishing effort, and in the end fifth was the best he could muster. It hardly helped that he was the first to try and chase down runaway winner Lilandra; he can be marked up for that, while the visor is off now, and he appeals with cheekpieces refitted.
It was in cheekpieces he went close over C&D here the time before, looking the likely winner at the furlong pole but not able to master Larkin, the pair pulling well clear of the third (who reopposes here, and looks held).
A repeat of that effort takes him close, and with little pace in the pace, he should be able to gain easy track position; I fully expect Lewis Edmunds to grab the favoured stands rail position in the straight, and hopefully make it count.
Cornish Storm is worth a mention. Three runs in maidens have seen him handed a mark of just 54, and whilst he’s not shown enough, trainer Stuart Kittow knows the family well, with two of his half-brothers winners around a mile with some cut in the ground.
Having not been seen since April, his well-being here has to be taken on trust, and it may well be he’s one to monitor today rather than bet; stick him in those trackers with a similar event in mind.
Twelfth Knight looked in for a good season when winning a couple of races early doors but he’s found some of the company he’s been keeping a bit too hot for his liking since then, whereas this does look a bit less competitive, and now having slipped back to a mark 2lb lower than his last winning one, he might be able to regain the winning thread.
The stalls are in the centre at Ffos Las but I suspect from stall 10, Rossa Ryan might try and drag them across to the stands side -which has been something of a golden highway at times at Ffos Las this year - and lead them out from there.
Happy on pretty much all ground, his early price here is bigger than it was to win a stronger race than this at Newmarket last time, which does look wrong.
Rory's best bet on Monday comes in the Joseph Leckie & Sons Ltd Handicap, where LADY LADE can take advantage of some lenient handicapping.
Keith Dalgleish’s three-year-old has an excellent record here, winning her novice over C&D last season, and placed twice in 6f handicaps here in June, when seeming to find her stamina stretched. Those placed efforts came in Class 4 company, and after losing her way mid-summer, she has dropped in the weights, and came back to form dropped in trip and class at Ayr last time, finishing an excellent third of 21 to Triple Jaye, beaten just a neck and half a length.
Lady Lade pretty much proved what the form suggests at Ayr, that is that she is best at the minimum trip, and her record at the trip now reads 5113. The ‘5’ came on her debut at Carlisle on soft ground, and she shaped very well despite needing the experience that day, keeping on for hand riding to be beaten 2¼ lengths after missing the break from a wide draw.
She built on that to win her next two starts at 5f, but it wasn’t until the Western Meeting at Ayr that she was tried again at the trip. The fact that she bounced straight back to form at Ayr augurs well, and while it can be argued that she’s unproven on the ground, her only runs on such a surface have come without the benefit of a prep run, and she’s performed perfectly well in the circumstances.
Lady Lade showed she could be competitive from marks in the mid-70s before her temporary dip in form and returns to a track she handles well off a mark of 68 now, which to my mind looks like a golden opportunity, particularly with a draw in 9 looks a positive, with Shesadabber likely to make the running from 11, and that in-form mare should give us the perfect tow deep into the race.
Published at 0922 BST on 26/09/22
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