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Super 6 correct score tips: Sporting Life's expert predictions

Super 6 tips and correct score predictions: Saturday September 25


Jake Osgathorpe is in the Super 6 chair for this weekend's round, bringing you predictions and tips for all six games.


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  • Leicester v Burnley: DRAW
  • Leeds v WEST HAM
  • EVERTON v Norwich
  • Watford v Newcastle: DRAW
  • Bristol City v FULHAM
  • SHEFF UTD v Derby

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Leicester 1-1 Burnley

Leicester simply haven't got going this season, with three defeats in five league games, but importantly Brendan Rodgers's side have lost the xG battle in all five. The Foxes were beaten 2-1 by Brighton last weekend, again conceding good chances, with their season average at 2.06 xGA per game. Worryingly, only Spurs and Norwich have a worst attacking process than the Foxes (1.02 xGF per game).

Burnley have fewer points on the board than their hosts, but their performances have been better, winning the xG battle in three of five games, with four matches being extremely tight. They were unfortunate to lose 1-0 to Arsenal and have been creating more chances that their goal tally suggests (1.49 xGF per game). The Clarets can get a result at the KP.


Leeds 1-2 West Ham

Leeds don't look like themselves this season. Last term their vibrant attack consistently bailed out a vulnerable defence, averaging 1.63 xGF per game, but so far this season they aren't hitting those same heights (1.15). This means that results are hard to come by, with Bielsa's side shipping chances, and unless something changes, expect them to continue to struggle.

West Ham will be kicking themselves for missing a late penalty against Manchester United, but a defeat was a deserved result, with David Moyes's side struggling in attack in the absence of Michail Antonio, mustering just 0.89 non-pen xGF. Antonio is back for this match, and the Hammers' attacking process should prove too strong as they get back to winning ways.

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Everton 2-0 Norwich

Don't be alarmed Everton fans. A 3-0 defeat to Aston Villa was an undeserved loss based on expected goals (xG: AVL 0.97 - 0.90 EVE), and while Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison, Seamus Coleman and Jordan Pickford are set to miss this game, the Toffees strength in depth and underlying process means they have a great chances of getting the win in this game.

Norwich have lost 15 straight Premier League games over two seasons following their 3-1 loss to Watford. That was the most disappointing of all, having lost their first four against teams who finished in the top eight last season, a home game against a fellow promoted side was their easiest game to date. The manner of the defeat was hugely concerning (xG: NOR 0.75 - 2.92 WAT), with Daniel Farke's men continuing to look hopeless at the back (2.38 xGA per game).


Watford 1-1 Newcastle

Watford got their second win of the season at Norwich last weekend, a really good performance, though it did come against a team that looks like the worst side in the Premier League (xG: NOR 0.75 - 2.92 WAT). The Hornets' underlying process has been steady thus far, but defensively they have looked vulnerable (1.50 xGA per game).

Newcastle remain winless through five league games after a 1-1 draw with Leeds, another open game with chances at both ends. Steve Bruce's side have been very open at the back, and not as potent as at the back end of last season, which is a concern, but their counter-attacking capabilities should help them avoid defeat here.

Super 6 correct score tips: Sporting Life's expert predictions for Saturday's round

Bristol City 1-2 Fulham

Bristol City were fortunate to beat QPR last week, conceding a host of good chances yet again, a theme of their start to the season (xG: QPR 2.57 - 1.23 BRC). In fact, only five four teams have been worst defensively this term than Nigel Pearson's side (1.57 xGA per game). They are mid-table in terms of attacking metrics, but given their weakness at the back, they should struggle to keep Fulham out here.

Fulham were unfortunate to lose to Reading in their last league game, creating a hat-full of chances in a 2-1 loss (xG: FUL 2.80 - 1.31 REA). Marco Silva's side have been the second best attacking team in the Championship so far, averaging a huge 2.17 xGF per game, while defensively they are looking solid (0.82 xGA per game).

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Sheff Utd 2-1 Derby

After a slow start to the season, Sheffield United appear to have found their groove, especially in attack. The Blades have averaged 2.18 xGF per game in their last three matches, but do continue to look vulnerable at the back, which has led to a lack of clean sheets this term.

Derby have had a horrendous week, with the club going into administration and being deducted 12 points. They now prop up the table on -2 points and face a huge uphill task if they are to survive this season. They have struggled in attack thus far, averaging just 0.85 xGF per game, but should be able to breach the Blades in this game.


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