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Free football betting tips: Preview of Watford v Chelsea in the Premier League

Watford manager Javi Gracia
Watford manager Javi Gracia

Nick Hext thinks Watford's new approach and Chelsea's reduced options makes no goalscorer the bet for Monday Night Football's Premier League game.

Monday Night Football recommended bets

1pt no goalscorer in Watford v Chelsea at 23/2

0.5pts under 1.5 goals in Watford v Chelsea at 3/1

For details of advised bookmakers and each-way terms, visit our transparent tipping record

Watford v Chelsea (2000 GMT, Sky Sports Main Event)

Chelsea need to bounce back from a surprise 3-0 defeat at home to Bournemouth but I'm expecting Watford to make it a tricky evening's work for the Blues at Vicarage Road.

The Hornets drew 0-0 at Stoke in Javi Gracia's first Premier League match in charge on Wednesday night as a new tactical approach helped secure a point.

Gracia explained after the match that he wants a 4-3-3 formation when Watford are defending but to switch to 3-5-2 when going forward, Gerard Deulofeu and Jose Holebas going wide as the approach alters.

This is a change from the 4-2-3-1 formation used by the Hornets during previous manager Marco Silva's tenure and it had an immediate effect as a 12-game wait for a clean sheet in the league came to an end.

Richarlison, impressive since arriving at Vicarage Road in the summer, plays a more central role in the line-up and star player Abdoulaye Doucoure also gets more freedom to make an impact.

As such, 5/1 for Watford to beat Chelsea is fairly appealing but I think Gracia's focus on strengthening the Hornets' backline make no goalscorer the best bet.

Chelsea are again without Alvaro Morata because of a back injury and the most that can be expected from new signing Olivier Giroud is an appearance from off the bench.

Olivier Giroud
Olivier Giroud

Antonio Conte has seen his options reduced in recent weeks, as much as you can with the number of players under contract with the Blues, and they were well beaten by Bournemouth.

That is the fourth time in eight matches that Chelsea have failed to find the back of the net and the Blues have only won one of their previous five matches on the road.

Watford's new approach kept Stoke quiet last time out and Conte will have to quickly devise a new plan if Chelsea are to enjoy a successful trip to Hertfordshire.

I'm going to take a chance on the Hornets being part of a second goalless encounter on the spin but also take a small saver on under 1.5 goals that is appealing enough at 3/1.

Prediction: Watford 0-0 Chelsea (Sky Bet's odds: 11/1 with Sky Bet)

Posted at 1740 GMT on 02/02/18.

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Most Read Football

Sporting Life's betting tips for England v Croatia on November 18
1

England to burst out of the blocks

George Pitts fancies England to win their crunch Nations League match with Croatia on Sunday, with two recommended bets for the Wembley meeting.

Check out today's Paper Talk2

Paper Talk: Mourinho wants Godin

Manchester United want Diego Godin but must pay more than £53million for Milan Skriniar

Gareth Southgate at Saturday's press conference3

Southgate expecting thriller

Gareth Southgate believe's Sunday's Nation League decider between England and Croatia will live up to the billing.

Get all the football gossip from the National Papers4

Paper Talk: Chelsea close to Pulisic deal

Chelsea close in on Christian Pulisic and Manchester City could face a potential FIFA transfer ban.

Track your Super 6 predictions and your Saturday bets here alongside our in-play recommendations5

RECAP: Saturday's Football Betting Blog

Our Saturday matchday betting blog. This is a review of today's key games, Super 6 and our recommended tips from across the Sky Bet EFL.

Football Tips

Sporting Life's betting tips for England v Croatia on November 18

England to burst out of the blocks

George Pitts fancies England to win their crunch Nations League match with Croatia on Sunday, with two recommended bets for the Wembley meeting.

Our best bets for the latest games in the Sky Bet EFL

Sky Bet EFL betting preview

There may be no Sky Bet Championship, but there is still plenty of value on offer in Leagues One and Two on Saturday.

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Saturday's Bets of the Day

Get our team's best bets from across a range of sports for Saturday November 17 in one place.