Sporting Life's La Liga column has already tipped up thirteen winners this season, and it returns for the midweek action, including Granada v Getafe.
2pts Under 2.5 Goals in Mallorca v Sevilla at 8/13 (General)
1.5pts Granada to beat Getafe at 17/10 (Betway)
1pt Athletic Bilbao to have more corners than Espanyol at 5/4 (Sky Bet)
A meeting of two teams in desperate form at the moment.
Getafe are still yet to win a game this season after falling to a heavy 3-0 defeat at home to Celta Vigo on Monday night, barely threatening their opponents in a frankly abhorrent display (xG: GET 0.54 - 2.44 CEL).
Quique Sánchez Flores has failed to elicit any kind of response since his recent appointment in terms of performance, with Getafe registering less than 1 xGF in eight of their ten fixtures to start this La Liga season.
Granted, Granada aren't faring much better, winning just one game and sitting in 16th place after a 1-1 draw with Osasuna on Friday night, but they have eked out some positive results in spite of poor underlying numbers.
Much like their opponents, Diego Martínez's side are finding it difficult to create chances, averaging just 0.73 xGF per game, but they have faced a tough schedule so far, coming up against seven of the current top ten teams in the table in their nine matches.
This is by far their easiest assignment, so the 17/10 available for GRANADA TO BEAT GETAFE looks very appealing to me.
The shorter turnaround for Getafe in a packed midweek schedule is another small bonus in this play, with Granada allowed an extra few days rest in their return to Andalucia for a big bottom of the table clash.
Score prediction: Granada 1-0 Getafe (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)
Sevilla's 5-3 win over Levante last time out was a massive outlier (xG: SEV 2.18 - 2.01 LEV). Maybe not in terms of the result, but the manner it came in - a high-scoring thriller.
It can be expected that the visitors will return to their usual ways here and bounce back to the extremely solid defensive team that allowed just three goals and an average of 0.69 expected goals against (xGA) per game in their prior eight league matches.
As a result, the relatively short price 8/13 available for UNDER 2.5 GOALS still looks value after a small bump up following the weekend matches, especially when taking into account the host's tendencies.
Mallorca have struggled to create scoring opportunities all season long, averaging a lowly 1.08 expected goals for (xGF) per game en route to scoring only nine goals in ten matches.
Their defensive process at home is much better than on the road, too, conceding only four goals alongside an average of 1.20 xGA per game in five fixtures at the Son Moix this season, all of which points to a game short on chances in the Balearics on Wednesday evening.
Score prediction: Mallorca 0-1 Sevilla (Sky Bet odds: 9/2)
A win for Espanyol at home to Athletic Bilbao would take them level on points with the visitors, though Bilbao would still have a game in hand.
Even so, Espanyol have made a great start to their first season back in the top flight of Spanish football, claiming some scalps along the way – they beat Real Madrid 2-1 on home soil at the beginning of the month.
For Bilbao, they have made their best start to a season since 2013/14, the season after Marcelo Bielsa’s departure, and there is no real reason they cannot push on and potentially grab a European spot this season, the fact that they boast the best defence in the league likely to see them in incredibly good stead.
This is a tough match to call, both teams unbeaten in their last three, with two wins apiece, so looking elsewhere for value is the order of the day.
No team have been awarded more corners than Athletic Bilbao this season, averaging 7.33 per game, while Espanyol have given away the fourth most corners in the division.
It is a surprise then to see ATHLETIC BILBAO TO TAKE THE MOST CORNERS priced up as the outsider with Sky Bet. The 5/4 available looks large and is worth getting onside.
Score prediction: Espanyol 1-1 Athletic Bilbao (Sky Bet odds: 5/1)
Odds correct at 0920 BST (26/10/21)
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