Wasps to sting Bath

  • By: Reece Killworth
  • Last Updated: January 6 2013, 10:27 GMT

You don't need to be a genius - or be blessed with great rugby knowledge - to have noticed the improvement in Wasps between last season and this.

Joe Launchbury's Wasps are taken for a narrow win
Joe Launchbury's Wasps are taken for a narrow win

The 2011/12 campaign is one that will live long in the memories of everyone associated with the club - for all the wrong reasons.

As if struggling on the pitch were not enough - the two-time Heineken Cup winners finished just a point above relegated Newcastle in the Aviva Premiership table - there were genuine fears for the club's future.

The takeover by a consortium headed by former player Ken Moss has provided some much-need stability, though, and that has been evident in their results on the field with Wasps fifth going into the weekend's fixtures.

The six Premiership victories and 33 points they have secured so far are the exact amount they finished last season with - and, even though I think they'll be hard pressed to secure a play-off place, the Heineken Cup surely beckons.

This weekend Bath are the opponents and there has been a pattern to both Wasps' home games and their visitors' away games that I'm keen to tap into.

Since opening the season's away games with a one-point victory over Worcester, Bath have lost five of their subsequent six matches on the road.

The exception was a draw at Exeter but that result merely underlines the fact they are rarely well beaten - despite playing two of the top three (Harlequins and Leicester) on the road, they're yet to be beaten by more than nine points.

The average deficit in points between them and their hosts is just shy of five.

Wasps home games, meanwhile, have also been pretty tight affairs.

Yes, they mashed London Irish by 29 points early on but since then the five games they've played at Adams Park have been decided by 10 points or fewer (with each and every one going in their favour).

Of those last five games, the average winning margin is 6.4 points and even including the Irish mauling that only rises as high as 8.7.

With nothing out of the ordinary in the team news and all pointers suggesting a home win is on the cards Wasps to win by 1-10 is the call.

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