Tigers to roar at Kingsholm

  • By: Reece Killworth
  • Last Updated: October 27 2012, 8:18 BST

Our rugby union tipster Reece Killworth has six wins from six previews this season and he fancies Leicester this weekend.

We're expecting more Leicester celebrations

Gloucester bring a lengthy run of positive results into Saturday's televised Aviva Premiership clash with Leicester Tigers - but I'm willing to take them on.

The Cherry and Whites are unbeaten in their last seven matches across both the Premiership and in European competition, a run including five victories on the spin and three in front of their own supporters at Kingsholm.

The Tigers' last seven, meanwhile, have thrown up two defeats and a draw (against Saracens), meaning they've won as many in their last seven in all competitions as Gloucester have in their last four.

But - and it's a big but on this occasion - to take in the full picture it's important to not just focus on results but also the quality of opposition faced.

For while Gloucester have recorded back-to-back victories in the Amlin Challenge Cup against the bottom two teams in the French Top 14 (Bordeaux and Mont-de-Marsan), Leicester have been playing rivals of much higher calibre in Toulouse (currently second in France) and Ospreys.

So while the Tigers lost just a fortnight ago, the achievement of bouncing back to beat Ospreys last weekend to me is more impressive than Gloucester's back-to-back wins against teams no-one can dispute are of a lower standard.

Prior to the European break, Gloucester had put together a sequence of three straight Premiership wins, but again you have to look at the opposition.

Wasps, London Welsh and Bath are all bigger prices than Gloucester (33/1) for the title and on the one occasion this season they have played one of the likely top-four finishers they were beaten 24-19 by Northampton at Kingsholm.

The Tigers have already played both Harlequins and Saracens and while they failed to win both times (losing 22-9 to Quins and drawing 9-9 with Sarries), you can draw better parallels against opponents both teams have faced.

London Welsh and Worcester fall into that category and though it's much too simplistic to base one's prediction solely on such results, it's surely telling that Richard Cockerill's won both matches by a combined score of 72-39 while Glouchester won one and drew one with an aggregate score of 47-41.

The Tigers are undefeated in their last four against Gloucester and won 19-14 in the corresponding fixture last season.

And given the step-up in quality they'll provide for Nigel Davies' men in front of the Sky cameras, I'm happy to back them giving up two points at Kingsholm.


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