Hail to the Chiefs

  • By: Reece Killworth
  • Last Updated: October 5 2012, 16:58 BST

Our Reece Killworth fancies Exeter to beat Harlequins with a five-point start as he goes for his fifth winner in a row.

Exeter can beat Harlequins with a five-point start

Exeter Chiefs took a fair old tonking at Leicester last time out, but I reckon Boylesports have overreacted to that by giving them a five-point start as they welcome Harlequins to Sandy Park this weekend.

It's testament to how competitive the Chiefs have been week in, week out that the 22-point defeat they suffered at Welford Road is their biggest loss since crashing 33-3 to Northampton Saints almost exactly a year ago.

And you can bet the whole camp - Rob Baxter included - have been smarting all week as they look to right the wrongs of that one.

There's certainly enough evidence to dismiss it as a one-off, particularly when you consider they're back in front of their home fans this weekend.

Their record at Sandy Park is truly impressive in recent months - only once since April 2011 have they lost a home game by a margin which would seen us return a loss this weekend - a 24-19 defeat by Gloucester last season.

Though Quins, Northampton and Saracens all won there in 2011/12 the biggest victory margin was just four points - and Leicester were among the scalps they took on home turf with a 19-11 victory in early February.

Sarries have already made a return trip this season and were beaten 14-12, underlining the fact a trip to Sandy Park is among the toughest in the league.

Of course, Quins are a force to be reckoned with.

The defending champions stormed Welford Road just a fortnight ago and given the quality in their ranks such a result can't be completely ruled out here.

But they also come into this one on the back of a defeat - to Saracens.

That was a real old grinder of a game and that's surely that's what Exeter will look to turn Saturday's match into.

There's no 10/11 available as with our usual handicap tips but I think the 5/6 Boylesports go on Exeter +5 is more than fair.

And despite both of our last two handicap tips coming up with the outright win, we'll stick with that handicap betting given Quins are rightly favourites.

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