Hills can make his Mark
Ian Ogg analyses the last 10 renewals of Thursday's DBS Premier Yearling Stakes and picks out the key statistics.
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Only seven renewals of this valuable contest have been run on the Knavesmire with one run at Newmarket during the drainage work down at York while the race was previously staged at Doncaster.
Those York contests have been won by horses drawn in 17, 17, 19, 15, 13, 2 and 11 with the three places being filled by 10 horses drawn in double figures (including the first two home in two of the last four years but neither of the last two).
Prominent racers also have an excellent record so there's plenty to recommend Kool Kompany whose stable have a terrific record in a similar contest, the Weatherbys Super Sprint, but who have had a slightly frustrating time in this race with four seconds in addition to their sole winner.
Last year's runner-up, Thunder Strike, carried a penalty and the extra weight has proved hard to carry in this contest so, given his likely odds, it makes some sense to look elsewhere.
Fast Act (drawn in 17 like the last two winners) was suggested in this column for the Newbury contest. He was no match for Tiggy Wiggy that day but he has since gone close in the Molecomb, a run which gives him a decent chance of beating Kool Kompany at the weights with official ratings taken as an accurate guide.
His trainer, Kevin Ryan, has won two of the last three renewals and it will be disappointing if he's out of the frame providing that conditions stay on the fast side but it may be worth taking a chance with Markaz depending how they are priced up.
He has a mountain to climb on the figures but was heavily supported when second in a Goodwood nursery suggesting that he may be ahead of the assessor. His trainer, Barry Hills, is another with an excellent record in this contest and Paul Hanagan prefers the son of Dark Angel (who won this race for Hills in 2007) from the Hamdam al Maktoum-owned quartet.
His running style is a slight concern but he has tracked the pace and would be expected to do so from his high draw here.
- Winners have been priced between 5/4 and 25/1 with six in single figures.
- Four favourites have been successful.
- Of the seven York winners, six were drawn 11 or higher.
- All of the York winners raced up with the pace.
- Five winners finished in the first two on their preceding start, four were successful.
- Nine winners finished in the first five on their preceding start. Of the beaten horses, four were beaten in a Group or Listed race with the other pair running in the Weatherbys Super Sprint and an auction stakes.
- Six winners had won over six furlongs or beyond.
- Winners had run between two and six times with three having had more than four starts; five have had just two starts.