Mal Boyle's Placepot picks
Our Placepot expert Mal Boyle reveals his selections ahead of Sunday's meeting at Huntingdon.
Each day Malcolm Boyle, the author of How To Win at the Tote Placepot and a former odds compiler, will give his unique analysis of racing's most popular pool bet.
He'll post his overnight Placepot analysis here around 1700 GMT each day with final selections published at approximately 1000 GMT on race day.
HUNTINGDON – MARCH 1
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2014: £25.80 (6 favourites: 6 winners!)
Race 1 (2.00pm): 9 (Perfect Summer) & 3 (Lanceur)
Race 2 (2.30pm): 1 (Vivacissimo), 2 (Murtys Delight) & 6 (Wing Mira)
Race 3 (3.00pm): 6 (For 'n' Against), 1 (North Germany) & 4 (Gamain)
Race 4 (3.30pm): 2 (Fergal Mael Duin), 6 (Safran De Cotte) & 5 (Fredo)
Race 5 (4.00pm): 1 (Short Takes), 4 (Malanos) & 2 (Tealissio)
Race 6 (4.30pm): 8 (The Drinkymeister) & 5 (Inner Drive)
2.00 Four-year-old leads the five-year-olds 3-2 via the last six renewals and wIth no junior raiders entered this year, Lady Cecil's newcomer PERTFECT SUMMER can score on behalf of the five-year-olds this time around. Jack Quinlan is the fortunate pilot to get the leg up on this High Chapparal mare who reached the dizzy heights of 80 via the official assessors on the level. Her last run when third in a Class 3 event at Newmarket suggests that this race could be there for the taking if she adapts to jumping timber in public. If not, LANCEUR and SIMPLE ASSIGNMENT should thwart the other two five-year-olds on this occasion.
Favourite factor: Four of the seven market leaders have won this opening event. Five of the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date.
2.30 Seven and eight-year-olds have (equally) shared four of the five contests, as have horses who have carried a minimum burden of 11-4. Three of the eight-year-old entries possess ticks in the weight boxes, the pick of which should prove to be VIVACISSIMO and MURTY'S DELIGHT The lone seven-year-old WING MIRA sits well below the 11-4 mark which puts a question mark against the Venetia Williams contender.
Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far by winning their respective events.
3.00 Six-year-olds have secured four of the last five contests including year's gold medallist who was the only vintage raider in the line up! Five of the six winners have carried a maximum burden of 11-4 which tends to suggest that David Pipe has found the perfect opportunity for FOR 'N' AGAINST. Tom Scudamore's mount can score at the sixth time of asking at the main expense of NORTH GERMANY and GAMAIN.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites (including three winners of their respective races) have snared toteplacepot positions to date.
3.30 FREDO was running of an official mark of 142 when contesting the Scottish Grand National four years ago but having only won just one of his 22 subsequent races, the Ian Williams raider has plummeted down the ranks contesting this race from a mark of 113. Tony McCoy has been booked to aid and assist but it remains to be seen if the eleven-year-old can beat younger horses such as FERGAL MAEL DUIN and course and distance winner TOTHEMOONANDBACK.
Favourite factor: Market leaders have secured three gold medals and two of the silver variety alongside an unplaced favourite via six renewals. Five of the six gold medallists have scored at a top price of 5/1.
4.00 Five of the six winners have carried a minimum weight of 11-1 thus far, though just one horse is eliminated accordingly via this year's entries. The two course and distance winners in the line up should figure prominently again, namely SHORT TAKES and MALANOS, whilst connections of TEALISSIO will be praying for even more rain. Lucy Wadham's three time winner plods on well under very soft/heavy conditions.
Favourite factor: The only favourites to finish in the frame via six contests were the 9/4-11/4-9/4 market leaders which obliged in 2010, 2012 and 2014 respectively.
4.30 Five and six-year-olds have (equally) shared the last four contests and the combined vintage representatives are 8/13 (5/8 to be exact) to extend the trend between them before the form book is consulted. Seven of Kim Bailey's last 12 runners have won and with David Bass also in fine form at present, THE DRINKYMEISTER should take some stopping in the toteplacepot finale. Others of interest include BOITE and ROCK OF AGES.
Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites have finished in the money to date via 11/4 & 4/7 winners.
** = joint favourite; *** = co-favourite (where applicable).
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Huntingdon card on Sunday4-Warren Greatrex
1-Eve Johnson Houghton
1-Dr Richard Newland
1-Paul Webber 57 declared runners
2014 average toteplacepot returns thus far (187 meetings):
1 race with at least one favourite in the frame: £847.71 (6)
2 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £270.13 (14)
3 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £366.18 (48)
4 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £166.83 (64)
5 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £68.20 (44)
6 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £20.14 (11)
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com
Total A/W meetings (£268.48-78 meetings)
Chelmsford (£609.33-9 meetings)
Southwell (£419.93-14 meetings)
Wolverhampton (£197.31-23 meetings)
National Hunt venues:
Total NH meetings (£163.68-109 meetings)
Ascot (£200.90-2 meetings)
Ayr (£183.62-5 meetings)
Bangor (£82.37-3 meetings)
Carlisle (£151.20-1 meeting)
Catterick (£71.99-5 meetings)
Cheltenham (£76.15-2 meetings)
Chepstow (£56.53-3 meetings)
Doncaster (£178.32-5 meetings)
Exeter (£75.82-4 meetings)
Fakenham (£68.68-4 meetings)
Ffos Las (£131.52-4 meetings)
Fontwell (£17.85-2 meetings)
Haydock (£621.75-2 meetings)
Huntingdon (£131.17-3 meetings)
Kelso (£82.85-2 meetings)
Kempton (£127.06-3 meetings)
Leicester (£81.40-4 meetings)
Lingfield (£85.65-2 meetings)
Ludlow (£196.54-5 meetings)
Market Rasen (£399.45-2 meetings)
Musselburgh (£98.40-6 meetings)
Newbury (£281.57-3 meetings)
Newcastle (£113.25-4 meetings)
Plumpton (£323.64-5 meetings)
Sandown (£349.20-3 meetings)
Sedgefield (£38.67-3 meetings)
Southwell (£31.00-1 meeting)
Taunton (£357.02-6 meetings)
Towcester (£6.20-1 meeting)
Uttoxeter (£1,068.45-2 meetings)
Warwick (£262.17-3 meetings)
Wetherby (£94.03-4 meetings)
Wincanton (£105.64-5 meetings)
The average toteplacepot dividend in 2014 stands at £215.57 (187 meetings) up to and including Friday February 27