Mal Boyle's Placepot selections

  • By: Mal Boyle
  • Last Updated: April 1 2015, 19:12 BST

Our Placepot expert Mal Boyle reveals his analysis ahead of Thursday afternoon's meeting at Taunton.

Each day Malcolm Boyle, the author of How To Win at the Tote Placepot and a former odds compiler, will give his unique analysis of racing's most popular pool bet.

He'll post his overnight Placepot analysis here around 1700 BST each day with final selections published at approximately 1000 BST on race day.

TAUNTON – APRIL 2

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2014: £29.80 (7 favourites: 5 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)

2.20 I guess that Captain Probus has potential to improve from what we have witnessed thus far but that said, Harry Fry's Trans Island gelding should be put in his place by PORT MELON, GO ODEE GO and GOLAN DANCER, albeit this trio are well and truly exposed in comparison to Harry's representative.

'Favourite factor': The favourites in the two divisions of what was a new race last year offered conflicting results as on the one hand, a 5/4 favourite scored but on the other, a 15/8 market leader 'unseated' at the second last when looking booked for second spot.

2.50 One of Harry Whittington's two winners last season was gained in this event and the trainer had offered the green light to his Ludlow winner DRIFTER who has gained a medal of each colour from 10 assignments under varying codes of the sport we love. Potential dangers this time around include PRINCESS OMBU and BARISTA.

'Favourite factor': Last year's inaugural 7/4 favourite duly obliged.

3.20 Course winner ALL BUT GREY is slowly being cut some slack by the official assessor and Carroll Gray had found a decent opportunity for his nine-year-old to become involved in the finish. The handicapper might have 'got' Isthereadifference fort the time being, whilst the form figures of Finch Flyer look alright on paper before you assess the form, especially as the eight-year-old has been beaten by an aggregate of 114 lengths via his last two assignments. In the circumstances, course winner POLSTAR and EARL THE PEARL appeal more as dangers to ALL BUT GREY.

'Favourite factor': This is a new race on the Taunton card which has been one of the back up meetings to Aintree in recent times.

3.50 The two recent course and distance winners EARTHMOVES and DRAGON'S DEN should take the beating though which horse will beat the other is the million dollar question. I marginally offer the pair in order of preference, with MAN OF LEISURE expected to fill the bronze medal position. The later named raider has been dropped four pounds after his latest effort and though not enough the trouble the first named pair from my viewpoint, Rachel Green's mount should reach the frame.

'Favourite factor': Last year's 15/8 favourite could only finish fifth of seven finishers.

4.20 If we (conveniently) ignore her last (pulled up) effort, MILLY MALONE could be described as a consistent type and the ground has come in her favour. Others for the overnight mix include JAZZ MAN and PETIT ECUYER.

'Favourite factor': The 85/40 favourite could not be considered as an unlucky loser because despite picking up the silver medal (alongside a toteplacepot position), the market leader was beaten by a dozen lengths.

4.50 This is a testing toteplacepot finale and no mistake, with claiming jockeys merely adding to the intrigue. I am tentatively offering MIDNIGHT SEQUEL, FOLLOW THE TRACKS and CHILL IN THE WOODS against the other five contenders in this potential 'dead eight' event.

'Favourite factor': Another silver medallist led the market when the 9/4 favourite was beaten by a 28/1 chance twelve months ago.

** = joint favourite; *** = co-favourite (where applicable).

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Taunton card on Thursday

4--Paul Nicholls
3--Brian Barr
3--Adrian Wintle
2--Bob Buckler
2--David Dennis
2--Chris Down
2--Graeme McPherson
2--Neil Mulholland
2--David Pipe
2--Dan Skelton
2--Harry Whittington
1--Linda Blackford
1--Michael Blake
1--David Bridgwater
1--Dai Burchell
1--Johnny Farrelly
1--Brian Forsey
1--Dominic Ffrench Davis
1--Harry Fry
1--Carroll Gray
1--Grace Harris
1--Nigel Hawke
1--Alan King
1--Nicky Henderson
1--Philip Hobbs
1--Anthony Honeyball
1--Caroline Keevil
1--Dr Richard Newland
1--Ben Pauling
1--Srah Robinson
1--Aytach Sadik
1--Andy Turnell
1--Nigel Twiston-Davies

48 declared runners

2014 average toteplacepot returns thus far (296 meetings):
One meeting with no favourites n the frame: £1,196.50 (1)
1 race with at least one favourite in the frame: £2,283.92 (8)
2 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £448.77 (21)
3 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £495.47 (83)
4 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £154.78 (99)
5 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £73.28 (65)
6 races with at least one favourite in the frame: £20.21 (19)

All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com

Flat venues:
Total Flat meetings (£283.85--2 meetings)
Doncaster (£283.85--2 meetings)

All-weather venues:
Total A/W meetings (£369.10--116 meetings)
Chelmsford (£469.63--16 meetings)

Kempton (£147.40--15 meetings)

Lingfield (£593.69--29 meetings)
Southwell (£445.91--21 meetings)
Wolverhampton (£186.58--35 meetings)

National Hunt venues:
Total NH meetings (£256.31--178 meetings)
Ascot (£264.97--3 meetings)
Ayr (£409.78--7 meetings)
Bangor (£78.88--4 meetings)
Carlisle (£185.50--3 meetings)
Catterick (£95.21--6 meetings)
Cheltenham (£331.12--6 meetings)
Chepstow (£65.99--6 meetings)
Doncaster (£161.87--6 meetings)
Exeter (£215.43--7 meetings)
Fakenham (£110.68--6 meetings)
Ffos Las (£116.58--5 meetings)
Fontwell (£32.23--3 meetings)
Haydock (£514.60--3 meetings)
Hexham (£86.75--2 meetings)
Huntingdon (£124.97--6 meetings)
Kelso (£104.42--4 meetings)
Kempton (£84.27--5 meetings)
Leicester (£82.10--5 meetings)
Lingfield (£85.65--2 meetings)
Ludlow (£169.83--6 meetings)
Market Rasen (£368.92--4 meetings)
Musselburgh (£98.40--6 meetings)
Newbury (£153.73--7 meetings)
Newton Abbot (£87.90--1 meeting)
Newcastle (£201.99--7 meetings)
Plumpton (£290.25--6 meetings)
Sandown (£375.71--5 meetings)
Sedgefield (£58.92--6 meetings)
Southwell (£31.12--4 meetings)
Stratford (£340.80--3 meetings)
Taunton (£263.27--9 meetings)
Towcester (£16.87--3 meetings)
Uttoxeter (£1,561.72--4 meetings)
Warwick (£1,715.02--6 meetings)
Wetherby (£879.33--6 meetings)
Wincanton (£92.88--6 meetings)

The average toteplacepot dividend in 2014 stands at £305.87 (296 meetings) up to and including Tuesday March 31