Brittain's Coronation chance
Man On The Spot previews day four of Royal Ascot featuring the Coronation Stakes.
This is not an easy start for punters but Sunset Glow must go on the short-list given Wesley Ward has already had a winner and a fourth with his two-year-olds at the meeting. The extra furlong might be a problem for the Belmont winner however. Patience Alexander but Wednesday's Queen Mary runner-up Tiggy Wiggy and Appleberry in a Listed race over 5f at York but is another who is unproven over this longer trip. Peace And War won his maiden on the Polytrack but Effusive is interesting as she can only improve on her defeat of the useful Free Entry at Carlisle. Godolphin could hold the key to this with Charlie Appleby's BITTER LAKE preferred to Saeed bin Suroor's Elite Gardens. Both won on their respective debuts over 6f at Newmarket but the former was the most impressive. Bond's Girl overturned the odds-on Kasb at Pontefract last time and could be best of the rest.
This is a Listed handicap but it's still a bit of a shock to see last year's Irish 1000 Guineas winner Just The Judge facing the start. She was third over 1m1f in a Group 3 at Epsom two weeks ago but was well beaten when tried over this trip at Goodwood last year. Fattsota was only ninth last year off a similar mark and Dick Doughtywylie only beat one home. The Queen's BOLD SNIPER is sure to be popular after a promising reappearance at Newmarket. This will have been his long-term target and, though he's gone up a further 3lb, he gave recent Windsor winner Café Society 9lb and a beating over 1m4f here last July. Contributer has his sights lowered and was fourth in a Group 2 on this day last year while Baltic Knight has a decent chance at the weights and makes more appeal than January's Meydan winner Saxo Jack.
Western Hymn was sixth in the Derby at Epsom earlier this month and brings classic form into the mix. He beat Lingfield Derby Trial winner Snow Sky and Scotland at Newbury in the spring and must have some sort of chance if recent exertions haven't taken their toll. Odeon and Bunker were fourth and fifth behind subsequent French Derby winner The Grey Gatsby in the Dante at York but this is a step up for Newmarket handicap winner Miner's Lamp and Italian Derby winner Dylan Mouth is more interesting, despite his penalty. ADELAIDE easily picked off the front-running Mekong River at the Curragh last month and is bred for this longer trip. He's unexposed and progressing nicely and can take this for Ballydoyle.
Six of these ran in the 1000 Guineas with Lightning Thunder doing best. She almost overhauled the winner Miss France and has since finished second in the Irish equivalent at the Curragh so wouldn't be winning out of turn but we prefer to give another chance to RIZEENA. Clive Brittain is a good judge and thinks the world of his filly. She was only seventh at Newmarket, behind Euro Charline, but is a leggy sort and looked in need of the run. There should be more to come and she did win the Queen Mary at this meeting last year. Lesstalk In Paris started favourite for the French 1000 Guineas but refused to settle and eventually finished a few places behind Fred Darling winner J Wonder. The latter was behind Lucky Kristale in last year's Lowther Stakes and George Margason's filly is another who failed to give her true running in 1000 Guineas, along withTapestry. Kiyoshi would have a chance on last year's form while Kieran Fallon rides Kentucky Oaks fourth Rosalind for Kenneth McPeek.
Aidan O'Brien has won three of the last seven renewals so Century, fourth in the Dee Stakes at Chester on his reappearance, must be worth a second look. But the Mark Johnston stable has an even more impressive record in this Listed contest for would-be top class stayers. His Middleham yard has won six of the last 13 stagings and HARTNELL can further enhance the record. He had the stamina to finish third in a Group 1 on heavy ground over 1m2f as a two-year-old and looked ready for a further step up in trip when second in the Lingfield Derby Trial last time.Marzocco was only beaten a neck in a Listed race at Goodwood while Montaly looked a stayer in the making at Haydock and appears to have the beating of Min Alemarat and The Corsican on collateral form. The others look to have a lot of improving to do to figure.
This is very much a race for 7f specialists so it may be worth opposing course winner Blessington, Newmarket scorer Rene Mathis and York third Blaine, who all step up in distance. Russian Realm did win over the trip at Goodwood last time but it was soft going that day and most of his form is over further. Brae Hill's best efforts have come over 1m and Goodwood third Jack's Revenge needs softer ground. Roger Varian saddled Eton Forever to win this in 2012 and can repeat the trick with the potentially classy HORSTED KEYNES. He's been raised 11lb for a facile victory over Tellovoi and Mabait at Yarmouth but has now won four times over 7f and is nicely drawn bearing in mind high numbers have generally had an advantage on the straight course so far this week. Pastoral Player certainly has the past form to figure and his latest sixth in the Victoria Cup over course and distance was a solid effort. But he can be a little quirky and might have to track over from stall three.