Don Quixote's hat
We analyse the last ten renewals of Friday's Sky Bet Stakes at York and pick out the key statistics.
- Winners have been aged three (2), four (5), five (2) and six.
- Winners have carried between 8-8 and 10-0 with eight between 8-8 and 9-5.
- The last seven winners have been rated between 85 and 99 with five between 85 and 90 - two of the three highest rated winners were three year olds.
- Winners have been priced between 7/2 and 50/1; three were in single figures and four between 33s and 50s.
- Two favourites (one joint) have been successful with a further four placed.
- Eight winners had finished either first or second in at least one of their last three starts.
- Five winners had won at least once during the current season.
- Seven winners had either won or been placed in a handicap of comparable class rating.
There was no renewal in 2008.
A race of changing trends as the ratings band was increased from 0-95 to 0-100 in 2005 and the class raised from three to two accordingly and that move has significantly affected the rating of a typical winner while three of the long priced winners came before the change in race conditions.
A relatively recent run has been desirable with all bar one winner running within the last 12 days of July or in August while three winners contested the Old Newton Cup at Haydock (won by Star Lahib); the last three winners had run in York handicaps (two over C&D) earlier in the campaign while another four had their preceding start at Glorious Goodwood.
The stables of Mark Johnston and Sir Michael Stoute have been the most successful with two winners apiece with the former training both three year old winners and the latter scoring with two four year olds; both have live contenders but it may be worth taking a chance with Quixote.
He has been absent since the Old Newton Cup and lacks a win in this grade but did go close at this level here in June and his yard has been among the winners this week.