It's Tea time
We analyse the last 10 renewals of Saturday's Betfred Grand National Trial at Haydock and pick out the key statistics.
- Winners have been aged 7 (two), 8 (two), 9 (three), 10 and 11 (two).
- Winners have carried between 10-0 and 11-12. Three have defied top-weight and two scored from out of the handicap.
- Winners have been rated between 124 and 155; the last five have been rated between 138 and 149.
- Winners have been priced between 4/1 and 18/1 with one favourite successful; a further three favourites (from 11) were placed.
- Nine winners finished in the first three on their preceding start; four were successful.
- Eight winners had won a race during the current season but only one had scored more than once.
- Eight winners had run during the current calendar year while one winner was making his seasonal reappearance.
- Nine winners had won over at least three miles, the exception had been placed over three miles three.
- Nine winners either made all or raced up with the pace.
Summary
A fairly mixed bag over the decade but the last five years have seen four winners emerge from the Welsh National and from a much narrower rating band with four of the five covered by just 7lbs (138 - 144). The prominent racing Teaforthree looks to have sound claims of reversing Chepstow form with Monbeg Dude and he gets the selection despite being a shade higher than ideal in the ratings and not having won a race this season.
Rigadin De Beauchene and Cannington Brook are others that score highly in a race that has been dominated by in-form runners and, accordingly, hasn't thrown up that many surprises.
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