Luke for value at Kempton

  • By: Nick Grant
  • Last Updated: January 2 2013, 16:13 GMT

Nick Grant fancies Luke Morris to enjoy success at Kempton later as he provides a tip for every race on the card.

Luke Morris is fancied to score aboard three rides

AYR: 12.20 Baltimoar, 12.50 Halo Moon, 1.20 Tap Night, 1.50 Boris The Blade, 2.20 Seader, 2.50 Prosecco, 3.20 Shadow Boxer.

KEMPTON: 3.50 Clear Loch, 4.20 Rodrigo De Freitas, 4.50 Imperial Guest, 5.20 Belle Bayardo, 5.50 If I Had Him, 6.20 Zaheeb, 6.50 Captain Starlight.

LINGFIELD: 12.30 One Way Or Another, 1.00 Lady Lunchalot, 1.30 TILSTARR (NAP), 2.00 Ishigunnaeatit, 2.30 Summer Sun, 3.00 Jacobs Son, 3.30 Sail Home.

WOLVERHAMPTON: 2.10 Stormy Morning, 2.40 Pirate Chest, 3.10 Fortunate Bid, 3.40 Kung Hei Fat Choy, 4.10 Wreningham, 4.40 Admiralty, 5.10 Malindi.

DOUBLE: Tilstarr and Jacobs Son

Tilstarr has considerably upped her game since switching from the turf to the all-weather and has a huge chance to record a maiden victory at Lingfield.

Roger Teal's juvenile was well held in a typically warm Newmarket maiden on her racecourse introduction in early August and was similarly unable to cut much ice on her next couple of appearances at Sandown and Yarmouth.

However, she has unsurprisingly fared significantly better since moving into handicap company, finishing a fine third at Kempton in mid-November and stepping up again when beaten just half a length into second at the same track last time.

She is higher in the weights now, but will find few better opportunities than the Handicap in which to get her head in front.

There was much to like about the winning performance of Jacobs Son at the Surrey track a couple of weeks ago and he will be difficult to beat as he aims to follow up in the Dry Hill Handicap.

The five-year-old has a pretty consistent profile overall, having finished in the first three on over half of his 20 career starts, but he has won just twice.

Robert Mills' charge had a rating pushing 80 a little over a year ago, but that has fallen to a far more workable 65.

He was suffering during the summer, but appears to have regained his form now, with a couple of placed efforts followed by his course and distance triumph last time.

Willie Twiston-Davies appeared to get a particularly good tune out of him that day and the fact he maintains the partnership can only be a good thing.

Imperial Guest is taken to translate his smart turf form to the all-weather in the Betdaq Mobile Apps Conditions Stakes at Kempton.

Although the son of Imperial Dancer has not raced on an artificial surface, he will have had plenty of experience of it exercising on the gallops.

George Margarson's useful performer comes out top of the ratings for this seven-furlong heat and has some classy performances to his name.

In the latest turf season, he was second to Hawkeyethenoo in the Stewards' Cup at Glorious Goodwood and fourth to Maarek in the Qipco British Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot in October.

Wreningham can strike for former champion Flat jockey turned trainer Pat Eddery in the Money Back Racing Specials At Handicap at Wolverhampton.

The Diktat gelding showed his turn was not far away when he was third behind Sunrise Dancer over the course and distance only last week.

Boris The Blade can continue his renaissance when he lines up at Ayr.

The 11-year-old grey had gone nearly two years without victory until he was victorious at Newcastle at the start of December.

Tina Jackson's inmate jumped well at Gosforth Park before stretching four and a half lengths clear under a good Richie McGrath ride.

Boris The Blade has gone up 7lb for the BetVictor Exclusive Antepost Offer Cheltenham 2013 Handicap Hurdle over three miles, but he has won off a 1lb higher mark so that is probably not the end of the world.

What was most striking about his Newcastle win was the fact it was his first start since April, so it is feasible to expect an even fitter horse reporting for duty in Scotland.

Jackson's stable star also loves a battle in the mud, so the likelihood of demanding conditions will not be an issue, either.

The Newcastle form can be handsomely franked elsewhere on the card as Shadow Boxer, who finished runner-up to Boris The Blade, can pocket the BetVictor Cheltenham Festival Antepost Pioneers Handicap Chase.

Donald Whillans' eight-year-old was also returning from a long absence and looked the winner for a long way until he grew a shade leg-weary two out.

Shadow Boxer has shown up pretty well since he has gone chasing and is another for whom the ground cannot be soft enough.

He surely has enough about him to win a small race like this off a humble mark of 82.

Prosecco, by contrast, may soon be competing in far more exalted company if he continues his rapid ascent in the Handicap Chase.

Although Lucinda Russell's charge is now an 11-year-old, he has been in outstanding form this winter and is now chasing a hat-trick following decisive victories at Wetherby and at Ayr in November.

Prosecco must overcome a career-high mark here, but he has already struck four times at Ayr and will not be knocked out of his stride by the heavy ground.

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