Time to invest in Art
Ian Ogg analyses all eight renewals of Saturday's totepool London Mile Handicap at Kempton and picks out the key statistics.
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Opposing three-year-olds is usually a pretty decent place to start although there is only one representative in this year's renewal.
Si Senor has been seriously impressive this season and a 9lb rise for his latest success is by no means umerited. It's with some reluctance but he has to be opposed on the stats.
Whittling the rest of the field down is somewhat harder although Tenor can go by virtue of his handicap rating and Loving Spirit has had a couple of cracks at this race (third off marks of 92 and 98) without proving good enough.
Shavansky proved that the elder statesman can thrive in this arena and Santefisio has dropped to a decent mark having been beaten just three parts of a length by Sea Shanty over course and distance in April from a 5lb higher rating.
He could get a decent pace to aim at too which will suit this Scottish raider but siding with four-year-olds has been the best way forward and there are just half a dozen of them to consider this time around.
George Cinq wasn't far behind Santefisio in that April contest when given plenty to do and meeting trouble in running. He doesn't seem to be the easiest to produce in his races but he's been performing to a consistent standard and the handicapper's treatment has been fair.
Musaddas represents a yard with a terrific record at this venue and he's been knocking on the door over C&D since winning at Thirsk. Prior to that, he was narrowly beaten by Buckstay who has since run well at Glorious Goodwood which has left Saeed bin Suroor's runner 8lbs better off at the weights.
Peter Chapple-Hyam's runner is progressive and will rightly be popular but that swing in the weights could be too much for him to cope with - it will be interesting to see how the race is priced up.
High Time Too also has a handy swing with Secret Art but William Knight's runner still appeals as the one to be with in anticipation of a double figure price.
A very easy winner when the pair met in May, his recent run of form is by no means as mediocre as the form figures suggest.
The ground was against him next time, 11th in the Buckingham Palace was a fair return while it was difficult to get involved from off the pace at both Sandown and Goodwood where he finished a decent fourth, around four lengths behind Buckstay.
The Excellent Art is usually ridden as a closer but those tactics were abandonded last time, his first start in a month, with disastrous results.
It would be a surprise if a similar ploy were used in this contest and a surprise if reverting to a more patient ride didn't bring about a vastly improved performance.
- Four year olds have won seven renewals with the other winner aged eight.
- Winners have been rated between 77 and 99 with five between 82 and 90.
- Winners have carried between 8-6 and 9-10.
- Winners have been drawn 14, 4, 1, 9, 9, 12, 16 & 3.
- Winners have been priced between 2/1f and 33/1 with five returned at 20/1+
- Six raced in midfield or were held-up, two raced in touch.
- Five finished in the first three on their preceding start.
- All of the winners had won a handicap over a mile.
- The winners' course records were 2-0-1, 3-0-1, 1-1-0, 8-4-2, 4-0-3, 4-0-2 ,1-0-1 & 4-1-1.
- The six most recent winners finished in the first four in their qualifier.
- 31 three year olds have run, including three favourites and two co-favourites, and five have been placed.