Go Dolphin at York
Ian Ogg analyses the last 10 renewals of Friday's Sky Bet Transfer Fund Stakes at York and picks out the key statistics.
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A race of changing trends as the ratings band was increased from 0-95 to 0-100 in 2005 and the class raised from three to two accordingly and that move has significantly affected the rating of a typical winner while two of the long priced winners came before the change in race conditions.
Sir Michael Stoute and Mark Johnston have both won two renewals in the last seven years although the Middleham handlers recent poor record with his runners on the Knavesmire has been well documented.
Stomachion is sure to be popular having looked in need of a return to this longer trip when staying on late in the day at Goodwood.
Satellite will need to settle better if he's to fulfil the potential of his second to Roseburg at Doncaster and his fourth in the highly competitive London Gold Cup and his trainer, William Haggas, is enjoying a fine week.
Pearl Castle finished fourth in the C&D handicap in July which Chancery won 12 months ago before following up in this contest. The latter is only 3lbs above his successful mark but does fall down on his recent form.
Semeen is respected but at a bigger price, it may be worth taking a chance with Dolphin Village for a yard that last won this race in 2004.
A winner of his last two starts, he had Semeen a long way behind him on his penultimate outing at Thirsk and looks to be firmly on the upgrade.
It's a concern that he's been doing his winning in smaller fields - all bar one winner had won a race of at least 10 runners - although he has only once raced in a double figure line-up.
- Winners have been aged three (2), four (5), five (2) and six.
- Winners have carried between 8-9 and 10-0 with seven between 8-8 and 9-5.
- The lasteight winners have been rated between 85 and 99 with six between 85 and 91 - two of the three highest rated winners were three year olds.
- Winners have been priced between 7/2 and 50/1; four were in single figures and three between 33s and 50s.
- Two favourites (one joint) have been successful with a further three placed.
- Eight winners had finished either first or second in at least one of their last three starts.
- Six winners had won at least once during the current season.
- Seven winners had either won or been placed in a handicap of comparable class rating.
There was no renewal in 2008.