Danno to take the Summer Plate
Richard Dunwoody previews the trends for the midsummer prizes at Market Rasen and fancies Peter Bowen to strike again.
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It’s the middle of summer and the Flat racing scene is at it’s peak, but despite that we’ve an excellent jumps card at Market Rasen to enjoy this Saturday – it's their biggest day of the season.
The Summer Hurdle and Plate are the feature contests and this week we’ve got all the key trends for both races.
Starting with the Summer Hurdle at 1455 the race has only seen a few winning favourites in the last 12 runnings so don’t be put off if you fancy something at a bigger price, but saying that it could pay to still look towards the head of the market with seven of the last 10 winners returning 15/2 or shorter in the betting.
Trainer John Ferguson won the race 12 months ago and runs two again – Purple Bay and Honour System. Looking at the age stat then five or six-year-olds have by far the best record, winning 10 of the last 12 runnings.
Both the Ferguson runners are respected, but with PURPLE BAY a five-year-old and jockey Mikey Ennis taking off a handy 7lb, then this one could be the best call.
The Summer Plate – run over fences – at 1530 is next up and as you can see from the stats below this race has been dominated by the Peter Bowen yard – winning four of the last 12 runnings.
He runs BOOK’EM DANNO and after winning his last two races in decent fashion, as well as being a C&D winner here at Market Rasen, everything points to a big run. Add in that 10 of the last 12 winners were aged seven or older and that’s another plus for this eight-year-old and also that nine of the last 12 victors carried just 10-13 or less - Book’Em Danno carries exactly 10-13!
Have a good weekend!
Betfred Mobile Summer Hurdle Key Trends & Stats:
12/12 – Had run within the last month
11/12 – Had won over at least 2m1f over hurdles before
10/12 – Aged either 5 or 6 years-old
9/12 – Had won 2 or more times already over hurdles
7/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
4/12 – Had run at Market Rasen before
2/12 – Won by the Pipe stable
2/12 – Ridden by AP McCoy
3/12 – Ridden by Denis O’Regan
2/12 – Winning favourites
The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1.
Betfred Summer Plate Key Trends at Stats:
12/12 – Had run within the last 3 months
11/12 – Had won over at least 2m5f before
10/12 – Aged 7 or older
10/12 – Had won 2 or more chases before
9/12 – Carried 10-13 or less
8/12 – Finished 1st or 2nd last time out
7/12 – Won their previous race
7/12 – Had run at Market Rasen before
4/12 – Winning favourites (1 joint)
4/12 – Trained by Peter Bowen
4/12 – Ran at Stratford last time out
3/12 – Trained by the Pipe stable
3/12 – Ridden by AP McCoy
2/12 – Ran at Ffos Las last time out (2 of the last 5) The average winning SP in the last 10 years is 11/1