Ihtimal's stamina key

  • Last Updated: May 3 2014, 23:59 BST

Andy Charles bring us his horse-by-horse guide to Sunday's QIPCO 1000 Guineas at Newmarket.

Ihtimal: In flying form in Dubai
Ihtimal: In flying form in Dubai

Andy Charles brings us his horse-by-horse guide to Sunday's QIPCO 1000 Guineas at Newmarket.

ALUTIQ

Trainer: Eve Johnson-Houghton. Jockey: Emmet McNamara

NON-RUNNER.

BETIMES

Trainer: John Gosden. Jockey: William Buick

Comes from a very powerful yard but has only run once in her career, and that was just a lowly maiden on the sand at Lingfield. Beautifully bred but very hard to weigh up on that facile success. Rating: 4/10

BRACELET

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien. Jockey: Ryan Moore

Group 3 winner on her seasonal debut but that was on heavy ground and this is going to be a very different test. But these connections won the race in 2012 with Homecoming Queen and another victory would be no massive surprise. Current favourite for the Epsom Oaks. Rating: 7/10

EURO CHARLINE

Trainer: Marco Botti. Jockey: Adam Kirby

Slightly unlucky not to win the Nell Gwyn, on her first run on turf last month, after which she was supplemented for this race. Stayed on strongly over seven that day and should cope with the extra furlong, so is very much one to consider despite her only wins having come (very easily) at Wolverhampton. Rating: 8/10

IHTIMAL

Trainer: Saeed bin Suroor. Jockey: Silvestre de Sousa

One of the few runners in the field with assured stamina, indeed she is among the favourites for the Oaks next month over 12 furlongs. Impressive winner of two Group 3 contests in Meydan earlier in the year. If she is able to avoid getting outpaced at a key stage, she will be going on strongly at the finish and could pounce up the hill. Rating: 10/10

JOYEUSE

Trainer: Lady Cecil. Jockey: James Doyle

Half-sister to the incredible Frankel and what a tale it would be for the late Sir Henry Cecil's wife to taste success in a Classic he won on six occasions. She has talent but has a lot to find on the book - one for the dreamers. Rating: 3/10

KIYOSHI

Trainer: Charles Hills. Jockey: Jamie Spencer

NON-RUNNER.

LADY LARA

Trainer: Alan Jarvis. Jockey: Kieren Fallon

One win in her seven runs came in a £9,000 Conditions Stakes at Newbury at the end of last season - that form is nowhere near good enough for a race with such depth. Rating: 1/10

LAMAR

Trainer: James Tate. Jockey: Luke Morris

Maiden winner at Newmarket last summer but was found out in better class before the end of last season and finished fourth behind Sandiva in the Nell Gwyn. Promises to stay well but will need to find plenty of improvement to win this. Rating: 3/10

LIGHTNING THUNDER

Trainer: Olly Stevens. Jockey: Harry Bentley

Ran Miss France very close in the Oh So Sharp Stakes in September but was an odds-on disappointment in the Rockfel after that and this will be her first run of the season. Has plenty to prove now. Rating: 2/10

LUCKY KRISTALE

Trainer: George Margarson. Jockey: Tom Queally

Bar one massive disappointment at Royal Ascot, was one of last season's most impressive fillies. Her defeat of Rizeena in the Duchess of Cambridge Stakes is one of the best pieces of form in the field, but that came over six furlongs and the extra quarter-of-a-mile could prove too much for her. Rating: 7/10

MAJEYDA

Trainer: Charlie Appleby. Jockey: Mickael Barzalona

Came home third in a tight finish to the Nell Gwyn but couldn't cope with stablemate Ihtimal late last summer and looks to be a clear second string for Godolphin. Rating : 4/10

MANDERLEY

Trainer: Richard Hannon. Jockey: Pat Dobbs

Maiden after six outings and doesn't seem likely to be entering the winners enclosure for the first time on Sunday. Rating: 1/10

MISS FRANCE

Trainer: Andre Fabre. Jockey: Maxime Guyon

Strongly fancied for this race after win in the Oh So Sharp Stakes last September but her defeat at Maisons-Laffitte in early April was enough to see a drift in her price. If you can ignore that major disappointment - note she also ran badly on 2013 debut - then she is a contender but there are enough question marks to leave her out of the equation. Rating: 5/10

PRINCESS NOOR

Trainer: Roger Varian. Jockey: Andrea Atzeni

Slightly quirky filly who has pounds to find with Kiyoshi ,Lucky Kristale and Vorda on defeats last summer. Could improve for the trip but her stamina is not completely assured. Rating: 2/10

RIZEENA

Trainer: Clive Brittain. Jockey: Richard Hughes

Very busy as a juvenile, running eight times and winning her Group 1 in the Moyglare Stud Stakes at The Curragh in September. Was beaten by the ill-fated Chriselliam in the Fillies Mile on her last run and comes into the race without a prep, but veteran trainer Clive Brittain is confident in her - he won this race with classy fillies Pebbles and Sayyedati and could be celebrating a hat-trick come Sunday afternoon. Rating: 9/10

SANDIVA

Trainer: Richard Fahey. Jockey: Frankie Dettori

Game winner of the Nell Gwyn on her seasonal debut but she might struggle to confirm the form with unlucky runner-up Euro Charline and looked not to stay the mile (granted, that was on soft ground) when well beaten in France on her last run of 2013. Rating: 7/10

TAPESTRY

Trainer: Aidan O'Brien. Jockey: Joseph O'Brien

Slightly hampered when beaten under a length by Rizeena in the Moyglare but she looks to be more of an Oaks filly (third favourite behind Bracelet) and could do with the 1000 turning into a race of attrition if she is to contend. Rating: 5/10

VORDA

Trainer: Philippe Sogorb. Jockey: Christophe Soumillon

Made it four wins from five in the Cheveley Park Stakes at the end of last season, putting herself in the frame for this race, but two defeats since over longer trips make it tough to see this French raider featuring in the closing stages. Rating: 4/10

VERDICT:

A wide-open renewal of the first fillies' Classic of the season and one that is very tough to predict. The mixture of speedy types who might struggle to see out the trip and likely Oaks candidates could lead to a shock result but, expecting the pace to be strong, we'll plump for sound stayer Ihtimal who looked to be in fantastic form in Dubai earlier this year. Favourite Rizeena has very strong claims, and a win for 80-year-old trainer Clive Brittain would be celebrated loudly within the sport, but we think he might just miss out with supplementary entry Euro Charline filling out the frame.